Prio S.A.

BOVESPA:PRIO3 Stock Report

Market Cap: R$54.9b

Prio Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Prio is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 31.7% and 7.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 32.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 25.5% in 3 years.

Key information

31.7%

Earnings growth rate

32.24%

EPS growth rate

Oil and Gas earnings growth7.6%
Revenue growth rate7.4%
Future return on equity25.53%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated21 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Analysis Article • May 18

Prio's (BVMF:PRIO3) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

Last week's earnings announcement from Prio S.A. ( BVMF:PRIO3 ) was disappointing to investors, with a sluggish profit...
Narrative Update • May 02

PRIO3: Higher Revenue And Margin Assumptions Will Support Future Upside

Narrative Update: Prio Analyst Price Target Revision The analyst fair value estimate for Prio has shifted from R$75.00 to R$82.00. Analysts attribute the change to updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E.
Narrative Update • Apr 17

PRIO3: Higher Revenue Assumptions And Margin Profile Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Prio to R$75.00 from R$69.76, citing updated assumptions around higher revenue growth, a slightly improved profit margin profile, and a modestly lower forward P/E multiple, while keeping the discount rate broadly in line with prior estimates. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the new R$75.00 fair value estimate for Prio as a reflection of updated assumptions that point to stronger revenue potential, a more supportive margin profile, and a P/E multiple that they view as more in line with peers, while keeping the discount rate broadly consistent with prior work.
Narrative Update • Apr 03

PRIO3: Future Returns Will Depend On Resilience To Sectorwide Multiple Compression

Analysts have maintained their R$51.00 fair value for Prio while adjusting assumptions, including a lower discount rate, revised revenue growth and profit margin expectations, and a different forward P/E. These changes result in a recalibrated valuation framework, but the overall price target view remains steady.
Narrative Update • Mar 20

PRIO3: Index Inclusion And Revised Fair Value Framework Will Guide Future Expectations

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Prio from R$62.00 to about R$69.76, reflecting updated assumptions for revenue growth, profitability and future P/E multiples following recent sector research. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts point to the revised fair value of about R$69.76 as a signal that recent reassessments of Prio’s revenue potential, profitability and P/E assumptions support a higher valuation anchor than before.
Narrative Update • Mar 05

PRIO3: Future Returns Will Balance Higher Fair Value With Execution Risks

Analysts now see Prio's fair value at about R$51.00, up from roughly R$41.50. They point to updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and a higher future P/E multiple.
Narrative Update • Feb 19

PRIO3: Index Addition And Refined Assumptions Will Shape Future Repricing Potential

Analysts have lifted their price target for Prio by about R$2, citing updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the refreshed fair value work as support for a higher price target, arguing that updated revenue and margin assumptions still leave what they see as a valuation gap relative to their internal estimates.
Narrative Update • Feb 05

PRIO3: Refined Insurance Models And Index Inclusion Will Support Upside Potential

Narrative Update Analysts have maintained Prio's fair value estimate at $62.00 and refined assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E to reflect updated sector models and recent insurance earnings commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Prio highlights how updated insurance sector models are feeding into valuation work, with analysts fine tuning price targets rather than making wholesale changes.
Narrative Update • Jan 22

PRIO3: Refined Insurance Models Will Support Upside From Stronger Earnings Resilience

Narrative Update on Prio Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Prio to US$62 from US$70, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, margins, and future P/E multiples following recent sector model revisions. Analyst Commentary Recent sector research points to a mixed backdrop for insurance names, but bullish analysts still see room for quality operators to justify premium valuations where earnings resilience is clear.
Narrative Update • Jan 08

PRIO3: Higher Margin Focus And Index Inclusion Will Support Future Repricing

Narrative Update Analysts trimmed their price target on Prio from about $55.84 to $54.11, reflecting updated assumptions that pair moderate revenue expectations with higher profit margins and a slightly lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Analysts updating their models on financials and insurers have been revisiting assumptions on revenue durability, margin resilience, and appropriate P/E levels.
Analysis Article • Dec 27

Prio (BVMF:PRIO3) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Narrative Update • Dec 23

PRIO3: Future Earnings Will Balance Stronger Revenue With Lower Margin Expectations

Analysts have modestly reduced their price target on Prio, trimming fair value from about $45.00 to roughly $41.50 as they factor in a slightly lower assumed profit margin and valuation multiple, partly offset by improved long term revenue growth expectations and a lower discount rate. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts emphasize that the latest trim to Prio's fair value reflects a more guarded stance on profitability and the sustainability of recent operational gains.
Narrative Update • Dec 09

PRIO3: Future Free Cash Flow Strength Will Support Upside Repricing

Analysts have nudged their price target on Prio slightly higher, with fair value rising by about $0.06 as they factor in marginally stronger revenue growth expectations that more than offset a modestly lower profit margin outlook and a slightly higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Street research on comparable financial and insurance names suggests a balanced but constructive backdrop that helps frame how investors may be looking at Prio’s updated valuation and growth profile.
Narrative Update • Nov 24

PRIO3: Strong Free Cash Flow And Distribution Model Will Drive Earnings Upside

Analysts have slightly reduced their fair value estimate for Prio to $55.79 from $55.86 due to updated models and sector trends highlighted in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on Prio reveals a spectrum of perspectives as analysts adjust their outlooks based on sector trends and updated company models.
Analysis Article • Nov 15

There Are Some Reasons To Suggest That Prio's (BVMF:PRIO3) Earnings Are A Poor Reflection Of Profitability

Following the release of a positive earnings report recently, Prio S.A.'s ( BVMF:PRIO3 ) stock performed well...
Narrative Update • Nov 05

PRIO3: Free Cash Flow Conversion Above 80% Will Support Earnings Momentum

Analysts have slightly reduced their fair value estimate for Prio by $0.36 to $55.86. This reflects a modest recalibration as expectations for revenue growth and discount rate ease, and profit margins trend upward.
Narrative Update • Oct 21

Analyst Commentary Highlights Updated Price Target and Mixed Outlook for Prio Amid Sector Shifts

Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for Prio to $56.21 from $57.43. This adjustment reflects updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and sector trends highlighted in recent research.
Analysis Article • Oct 16

There's No Escaping Prio S.A.'s (BVMF:PRIO3) Muted Earnings

When close to half the companies in Brazil have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 9x, you may consider Prio...
Analysis Article • Aug 08

Prio S.A. Just Recorded A 21% Revenue Beat: Here's What Analysts Think

BOVESPA:PRIO3 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Prio's Fair Values from the Community and select yours Prio S.A...
Analysis Article • Jul 18

Does Prio (BVMF:PRIO3) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to...
Analysis Article • Jun 27

Earnings Working Against Prio S.A.'s (BVMF:PRIO3) Share Price

Prio S.A.'s ( BVMF:PRIO3 ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 3x might make it look like a strong buy right now...
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New Narrative • Dec 05

Developing Peregrino And Wahoo Fields Will Boost Revenues And Enhance Net Margins

Successful field acquisitions and operational improvements are poised to increase production and enhance revenues, potentially boosting net margins through economies of scale.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

BOVESPA:PRIO3 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (BRL Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202826,5119,39613,25216,21611
12/31/202727,4758,77613,53816,72212
12/31/202626,8328,2857,68413,48810
3/31/202617,6732,590-7,4539,907N/A
12/31/202515,5842,251-9,0238,172N/A
9/30/202514,31910,051-9,3308,419N/A
6/30/202514,33410,589-7,68410,065N/A
3/31/202515,60111,329-6,6168,312N/A
12/31/202414,36110,302-5,1459,669N/A
9/30/202414,3694,9014,7379,201N/A
6/30/202414,8365,6424,5638,636N/A
3/31/202412,3875,0634,6349,445N/A
12/31/202311,9055,180-5,5837,740N/A
9/30/20239,8844,559-7,0336,349N/A
6/30/20237,8243,722-7,2885,584N/A
3/31/20237,5523,520-9,5283,867N/A
12/31/20226,3633,4271,1964,927N/A
9/30/20227,1683,3811,0374,187N/A
6/30/20226,1222,686-893,050N/A
3/31/20225,2712,4681,0572,430N/A
12/31/20214,3961,3338712,184N/A
9/30/20213,4981,1778141,878N/A
6/30/20213,0479691,0371,631N/A
3/31/20212,3364481,8452,104N/A
12/31/20201,9044537601,618N/A
9/30/20201,5825231491,171N/A
6/30/20201,492532-55856N/A
3/31/20201,728904-444631N/A
12/31/20191,644842N/A439N/A
9/30/20191,354133N/A625N/A
6/30/20191,180306N/A567N/A
3/31/2019871110N/A332N/A
12/31/2018849205N/A270N/A
9/30/2018775103N/A190N/A
6/30/201866048N/A136N/A
3/31/201857618N/A51N/A
12/31/201753451N/A49N/A
9/30/2017454354N/A104N/A
6/30/2017483409N/A69N/A
3/31/2017431311N/A49N/A
12/31/2016398242N/A114N/A
9/30/2016308135N/A140N/A
6/30/201629664N/A55N/A
3/31/201629099N/A60N/A
12/31/2015253110N/A-20N/A
9/30/2015311-1,094N/A-143N/A
6/30/2015308-1,080N/A-36N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: PRIO3's forecast earnings growth (31.7% per year) is above the savings rate (12.4%).

Earnings vs Market: PRIO3's earnings (31.7% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the BR market (12.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: PRIO3's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: PRIO3's revenue (7.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the BR market (6.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: PRIO3's revenue (7.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: PRIO3's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (25.5%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/22 09:43
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/21 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Prio S.A. is covered by 28 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Felipe MattarBarclays
Andre FagundesBarclays
Caio RibeiroBofA Global Research