Stock Analysis
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- BOVESPA:ANIM3
Ânima Holding (BVMF:ANIM3) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Ânima Holding S.A. (BVMF:ANIM3) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Ânima Holding
How Much Debt Does Ânima Holding Carry?
As you can see below, Ânima Holding had R$3.86b of debt at June 2024, down from R$4.12b a year prior. However, it does have R$1.18b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about R$2.68b.
A Look At Ânima Holding's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Ânima Holding had liabilities of R$1.27b due within 12 months, and liabilities of R$5.55b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of R$1.18b as well as receivables valued at R$902.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total R$4.73b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit casts a shadow over the R$875.5m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Ânima Holding would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
While Ânima Holding has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 2.4, its interest cover seems weak, at 1.3. This does have us wondering if the company pays high interest because it is considered risky. In any case, it's safe to say the company has meaningful debt. It is well worth noting that Ânima Holding's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 95% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Ânima Holding's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Ânima Holding's free cash flow amounted to 37% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
On the face of it, Ânima Holding's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Ânima Holding has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Ânima Holding is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those can't be ignored...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BOVESPA:ANIM3
Ânima Holding
Anima Holding S.A. operates as an education organization in Brazil.