Companhia Brasileira De Distribuicao

BOVESPA:PCAR3 Stock Report

Market Cap: R$1.4b

Companhia Brasileira De Distribuicao Valuation

Is PCAR3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PCAR3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PCAR3 (R$2.82) is trading below our estimate of fair value (R$6.55)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PCAR3 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PCAR3?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

PCAR3 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA14.8x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does PCAR3's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for PCAR3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.3x
PGMN3 Empreendimentos Pague Menos
0.1x7.3%R$1.4b
PNVL3 Dimed Distribuidora de Medicamentos
0.4x12.4%R$1.6b
9946 MINISTOP
0.6x3.9%JP¥44.4b
DMVF3 d1000 Varejo Farma Participações
0.2xn/aR$392.2m
PCAR3 Companhia Brasileira De Distribuicao
0.07x7.4%R$1.4b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: PCAR3 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (0.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PCAR3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a30.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a30.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: PCAR3 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the South American Consumer Retailing industry average (0.4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PCAR3's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PCAR3 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.07x
Fair PS Ratio0.08x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: PCAR3 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PCAR3 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR$2.82
R$4.46
+58.1%
27.6%R$7.00R$2.80n/a11
Apr ’25R$2.85
R$4.65
+63.2%
23.5%R$7.00R$3.00n/a11
Mar ’25R$3.88
R$4.93
+26.9%
18.9%R$7.00R$3.50n/a10
Feb ’25R$4.18
R$8.89
+112.6%
79.6%R$22.00R$3.50n/a12
Jan ’25R$4.06
R$8.85
+117.9%
80.3%R$22.00R$3.50n/a12
Dec ’24R$3.52
R$8.89
+152.5%
79.7%R$22.00R$3.50n/a12
Nov ’24R$3.56
R$9.29
+160.9%
78.2%R$22.00R$3.50n/a11
Oct ’24R$3.50
R$12.88
+268.0%
71.2%R$30.00R$3.50n/a12
Sep ’24R$4.92
R$18.49
+275.8%
36.5%R$30.00R$7.00n/a10
Aug ’24R$20.36
R$21.35
+4.9%
17.7%R$30.00R$15.00n/a10
Jul ’24R$18.71
R$22.64
+21.0%
28.0%R$39.00R$15.00n/a11
Jun ’24R$16.59
R$22.18
+33.7%
30.8%R$39.00R$14.00n/a11
May ’24R$15.00
R$22.92
+52.8%
29.8%R$39.00R$14.00n/a12
Apr ’24R$14.73
R$26.29
+78.5%
23.9%R$39.00R$19.00R$2.8512
Mar ’24R$14.28
R$28.12
+96.9%
21.5%R$39.00R$21.00R$3.8813
Feb ’24R$20.25
R$28.92
+42.8%
19.7%R$39.00R$21.00R$4.1813
Jan ’24R$16.52
R$28.87
+74.8%
19.5%R$39.00R$22.00R$4.0613
Dec ’23R$19.76
R$28.64
+44.9%
20.7%R$39.00R$20.00R$3.5213
Nov ’23R$22.44
R$27.83
+24.0%
22.2%R$39.00R$20.00R$3.5613
Oct ’23R$19.39
R$27.75
+43.1%
23.3%R$39.00R$19.00R$3.5014
Sep ’23R$20.55
R$26.86
+30.7%
28.1%R$47.00R$19.00R$4.9214
Aug ’23R$15.89
R$27.15
+70.8%
27.5%R$47.00R$19.00R$20.3614
Jul ’23R$16.71
R$30.15
+80.4%
19.8%R$47.00R$23.00R$18.7114
Jun ’23R$19.60
R$31.25
+59.5%
19.2%R$47.00R$24.34R$16.5912
May ’23R$20.33
R$37.91
+86.5%
52.7%R$107.00R$25.00R$15.0014
Apr ’23R$25.12
R$37.62
+49.8%
53.2%R$107.00R$25.00R$14.7314

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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