Stock Analysis

Vulcabras' (BVMF:VULC3) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

BOVESPA:VULC3
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Vulcabras S.A.'s (BVMF:VULC3) recent weak earnings report didn't cause a big stock movement. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.

View our latest analysis for Vulcabras

earnings-and-revenue-history
BOVESPA:VULC3 Earnings and Revenue History November 12th 2024

To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. In fact, Vulcabras increased the number of shares on issue by 11% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. You can see a chart of Vulcabras' EPS by clicking here.

How Is Dilution Impacting Vulcabras' Earnings Per Share (EPS)?

Vulcabras has improved its profit over the last three years, with an annualized gain of 90% in that time. In comparison, earnings per share only gained 77% over the same period. Net income was down 3.4% over the last twelve months. But the EPS result was even worse, with the company recording a decline of 9.9%. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is influencing shareholder earnings.

In the long term, if Vulcabras' earnings per share can increase, then the share price should too. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Vulcabras' Profit Performance

Vulcabras issued shares during the year, and that means its EPS performance lags its net income growth. Because of this, we think that it may be that Vulcabras' statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. While conducting our analysis, we found that Vulcabras has 2 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore them.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Vulcabras' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.