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- BOVESPA:SGPS3
Here's Why Springs Global Participações (BVMF:SGPS3) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Springs Global Participações S.A. (BVMF:SGPS3) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Springs Global Participações
What Is Springs Global Participações's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Springs Global Participações had R$941.9m of debt in September 2020, down from R$1.10b, one year before. However, it does have R$190.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about R$751.4m.
How Healthy Is Springs Global Participações' Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Springs Global Participações had liabilities of R$977.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of R$1.02b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had R$190.4m in cash and R$532.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling R$1.28b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit casts a shadow over the R$307.0m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Springs Global Participações would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Weak interest cover of 0.37 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.6 hit our confidence in Springs Global Participações like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Even worse, Springs Global Participações saw its EBIT tank 80% over the last 12 months. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Springs Global Participações will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Springs Global Participações actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.
Our View
On the face of it, Springs Global Participações's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And even its net debt to EBITDA fails to inspire much confidence. Considering everything we've mentioned above, it's fair to say that Springs Global Participações is carrying heavy debt load. If you harvest honey without a bee suit, you risk getting stung, so we'd probably stay away from this particular stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Springs Global Participações is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is concerning...
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About BOVESPA:SGPS3
Springs Global Participações
Through its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacturing, spinning, weaving, and finishing of home textile products in Brazil and Argentina.
Slight and slightly overvalued.