Stock Analysis

Insiders were the biggest winners as Guararapes Confecções S.A.'s (BVMF:GUAR3) market cap grew by R$409m last week

Published
BOVESPA:GUAR3

Key Insights

  • Insiders appear to have a vested interest in Guararapes Confecções' growth, as seen by their sizeable ownership
  • A total of 2 investors have a majority stake in the company with 55% ownership
  • Using data from analyst forecasts alongside ownership research, one can better assess the future performance of a company

A look at the shareholders of Guararapes Confecções S.A. (BVMF:GUAR3) can tell us which group is most powerful. And the group that holds the biggest piece of the pie are individual insiders with 83% ownership. In other words, the group stands to gain the most (or lose the most) from their investment into the company.

As a result, insiders scored the highest last week as the company hit R$3.8b market cap following a 12% gain in the stock.

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of Guararapes Confecções.

Check out our latest analysis for Guararapes Confecções

BOVESPA:GUAR3 Ownership Breakdown August 8th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Guararapes Confecções?

Many institutions measure their performance against an index that approximates the local market. So they usually pay more attention to companies that are included in major indices.

Since institutions own only a small portion of Guararapes Confecções, many may not have spent much time considering the stock. But it's clear that some have; and they liked it enough to buy in. If the company is growing earnings, that may indicate that it is just beginning to catch the attention of these deep-pocketed investors. When multiple institutional investors want to buy shares, we often see a rising share price. The past revenue trajectory (shown below) can be an indication of future growth, but there are no guarantees.

BOVESPA:GUAR3 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 8th 2024

We note that hedge funds don't have a meaningful investment in Guararapes Confecções. Looking at our data, we can see that the largest shareholder is Lisiane Rocha with 28% of shares outstanding. The second and third largest shareholders are Elvio Rocha and Flavio Rocha, with an equal amount of shares to their name at 28%. Flavio Rocha, who is the third-largest shareholder, also happens to hold the title of Chairman of the Board.

To make our study more interesting, we found that the top 2 shareholders have a majority ownership in the company, meaning that they are powerful enough to influence the decisions of the company.

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. There are plenty of analysts covering the stock, so it might be worth seeing what they are forecasting, too.

Insider Ownership Of Guararapes Confecções

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO.

Most consider insider ownership a positive because it can indicate the board is well aligned with other shareholders. However, on some occasions too much power is concentrated within this group.

Our information suggests that insiders own more than half of Guararapes Confecções S.A.. This gives them effective control of the company. Given it has a market cap of R$3.8b, that means they have R$3.1b worth of shares. Most would be pleased to see the board is investing alongside them. You may wish todiscover (for free) if they have been buying or selling.

General Public Ownership

With a 14% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over Guararapes Confecções. While this group can't necessarily call the shots, it can certainly have a real influence on how the company is run.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Guararapes Confecções better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Guararapes Confecções , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

But ultimately it is the future, not the past, that will determine how well the owners of this business will do. Therefore we think it advisable to take a look at this free report showing whether analysts are predicting a brighter future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.