The board of Grendene S.A. (BVMF:GRND3) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 28th of December, with investors receiving R$0.079 per share. This makes the dividend yield 3.3%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.
View our latest analysis for Grendene
Grendene's Earnings Easily Cover the Distributions
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. The last dividend was quite comfortably covered by Grendene's earnings, but it was a bit tighter on the cash flow front. The business is earning enough to make the dividend feasible, but the cash payout ratio of 86% indicates it is more focused on returning cash to shareholders than growing the business.
EPS is set to fall by 2.1% over the next 12 months if recent trends continue. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could be 42%, which we consider to be quite comfortable, with most of the company's earnings left over to grow the business in the future.
Dividend Volatility
Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2012, the first annual payment was R$0.24, compared to the most recent full-year payment of R$0.44. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 6.1% per annum over that time. We have seen cuts in the past, so while the growth looks promising we would be a little bit cautious about its track record.
The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Grendene has seen earnings per share falling at 2.1% per year over the last five years. Declining earnings will inevitably lead to the company paying a lower dividend in line with lower profits.
In Summary
Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. The company hasn't been paying a very consistent dividend over time, despite only paying out a small portion of earnings. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've identified 3 warning signs for Grendene (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BOVESPA:GRND3
Grendene
Engages in the development, production, distribution, and sale of footwear for women, men, and children in Brazil and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record and pays a dividend.