Stock Analysis

Is WEG (BVMF:WEGE3) A Risky Investment?

BOVESPA:WEGE3
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, WEG S.A. (BVMF:WEGE3) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

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When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

What Is WEG's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2024, WEG had R$3.60b of debt, up from R$2.84b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But on the other hand it also has R$8.00b in cash, leading to a R$4.40b net cash position.

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BOVESPA:WEGE3 Debt to Equity History April 24th 2025

How Strong Is WEG's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that WEG had liabilities of R$15.5b falling due within a year, and liabilities of R$2.91b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of R$8.00b and R$8.21b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total R$2.16b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This state of affairs indicates that WEG's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the R$194.1b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. While it does have liabilities worth noting, WEG also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

Check out our latest analysis for WEG

And we also note warmly that WEG grew its EBIT by 18% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if WEG can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While WEG has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, WEG recorded free cash flow worth 65% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing Up

We could understand if investors are concerned about WEG's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of R$4.40b. And we liked the look of last year's 18% year-on-year EBIT growth. So is WEG's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in WEG, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if WEG might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.