Neochim AD's (BUL:NEOH) Shares Lagging The Market But So Is The Business

By
Simply Wall St
Published
November 08, 2021
BUL:NEOH
Source: Shutterstock

When close to half the companies in Bulgaria have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 17x, you may consider Neochim AD (BUL:NEOH) as a highly attractive investment with its 5.3x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Neochim AD as its earnings have been rising very briskly. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Neochim AD

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BUL:NEOH Price Based on Past Earnings November 9th 2021
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Neochim AD's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Neochim AD's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 34% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 17% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we can see why Neochim AD is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.

The Key Takeaway

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Neochim AD maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Neochim AD you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a P/E below 20x.

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