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KeyCorp Valuation

Is KEY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KEY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KEY (€13.48) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€22.48)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KEY is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KEY?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

KEY key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio0.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KEY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KEY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.2x
FIB First Investment Bank AD
4.6xn/aлв587.4m
CCB Central Cooperative Bank AD
2.5xn/aлв212.3m
BACB Bulgarian-American Credit Bank AD
4.7xn/aлв276.5m
A086790 Hana Financial Group
5.1x6.5%₩17.1t
KEY KeyCorp
18.7x34.2%€13.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KEY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x) compared to the peer average (4.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KEY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.09%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.09%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KEY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KEY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KEY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate KEY's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KEY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€17.16
0%
29.9%€39.24€14.60n/a20
Oct ’25n/a
€17.16
0%
29.9%€39.24€14.60n/a20
Sep ’25n/a
€17.16
0%
29.9%€39.24€14.60n/a20
Aug ’25€14.54
€17.27
+18.8%
30.2%€39.71€14.78n/a20
Jul ’25€13.41
€16.52
+23.1%
32.9%€40.05€11.56n/a21
Jun ’25€13.01
€16.72
+28.4%
32.2%€39.94€11.53n/a21
May ’25€13.71
€16.91
+23.4%
32.2%€40.36€11.65n/a21
Apr ’25€14.55
€16.42
+12.9%
33.4%€40.03€11.55n/a21
Mar ’25€12.95
€16.17
+24.9%
34.0%€39.92€11.52n/a21
Feb ’25€12.85
€15.83
+23.2%
35.2%€39.61€11.05n/a21
Jan ’25€13.25
€14.19
+7.1%
41.7%€38.85€9.04n/a21
Dec ’24€11.55
€13.56
+17.4%
46.2%€40.10€9.33n/a21
Nov ’24€9.73
€13.63
+40.1%
46.7%€40.63€9.45n/a21
Oct ’24€10.35
€13.92
+34.5%
44.4%€40.71€9.47n/a22
Sep ’24€10.75
€13.46
+25.2%
44.3%€39.16€9.11n/a22
Aug ’24€10.95
€13.24
+20.9%
45.8%€38.91€9.05€14.5422
Jul ’24€8.63
€13.45
+55.9%
47.0%€39.56€9.20€13.4122
Jun ’24€8.58
€14.56
+69.8%
41.5%€39.76€10.17€13.0122
May ’24€10.15
€14.76
+45.4%
39.0%€38.94€9.96€13.7122
Apr ’24€11.12
€18.15
+63.2%
29.9%€39.64€11.06€14.5522
Mar ’24€17.08
€19.72
+15.5%
24.9%€40.38€15.03€12.9522
Feb ’24€17.66
€19.22
+8.8%
25.3%€39.52€14.70€12.8522
Jan ’24€16.26
€19.78
+21.6%
25.1%€40.50€15.54€13.2522
Dec ’23€17.82
€20.11
+12.9%
25.2%€40.85€15.68€11.5521
Nov ’23n/a
€21.34
0%
26.0%€43.53€16.20€9.7321

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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