Stock Analysis

Orange Belgium S.A.'s (EBR:OBEL) last week's 5.2% decline must have disappointed public companies who have a significant stake

ENXTBR:OBEL
Source: Shutterstock

Key Insights

  • Orange Belgium's significant public companies ownership suggests that the key decisions are influenced by shareholders from the larger public
  • Orange S.A. owns 70% of the company
  • Analyst forecasts along with ownership data serve to give a strong idea about prospects for a business

To get a sense of who is truly in control of Orange Belgium S.A. (EBR:OBEL), it is important to understand the ownership structure of the business. We can see that public companies own the lion's share in the company with 70% ownership. In other words, the group stands to gain the most (or lose the most) from their investment into the company.

And last week, public companies endured the biggest losses as the stock fell by 5.2%.

Let's take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about Orange Belgium.

Check out our latest analysis for Orange Belgium

ownership-breakdown
ENXTBR:OBEL Ownership Breakdown September 19th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Orange Belgium?

Institutional investors commonly compare their own returns to the returns of a commonly followed index. So they generally do consider buying larger companies that are included in the relevant benchmark index.

As you can see, institutional investors have a fair amount of stake in Orange Belgium. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see Orange Belgium's historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ENXTBR:OBEL Earnings and Revenue Growth September 19th 2024

We note that hedge funds don't have a meaningful investment in Orange Belgium. The company's largest shareholder is Orange S.A., with ownership of 70%. This essentially means that they have extensive influence, if not outright control, over the future of the corporation. With 11% and 2.5% of the shares outstanding respectively, Nethys S.A. and Polygon Global Partners LLP are the second and third largest shareholders.

While studying institutional ownership for a company can add value to your research, it is also a good practice to research analyst recommendations to get a deeper understand of a stock's expected performance. There are plenty of analysts covering the stock, so it might be worth seeing what they are forecasting, too.

Insider Ownership Of Orange Belgium

While the precise definition of an insider can be subjective, almost everyone considers board members to be insiders. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

We note our data does not show any board members holding shares, personally. Not all jurisdictions have the same rules around disclosing insider ownership, and it is possible we have missed something, here. So you can click here learn more about the CEO.

General Public Ownership

With a 13% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over Orange Belgium. While this group can't necessarily call the shots, it can certainly have a real influence on how the company is run.

Private Company Ownership

We can see that Private Companies own 11%, of the shares on issue. Private companies may be related parties. Sometimes insiders have an interest in a public company through a holding in a private company, rather than in their own capacity as an individual. While it's hard to draw any broad stroke conclusions, it is worth noting as an area for further research.

Public Company Ownership

It appears to us that public companies own 70% of Orange Belgium. We can't be certain but it is quite possible this is a strategic stake. The businesses may be similar, or work together.

Next Steps:

While it is well worth considering the different groups that own a company, there are other factors that are even more important. Be aware that Orange Belgium is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...

Ultimately the future is most important. You can access this free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.