Stock Analysis

VGP NV's (EBR:VGP) stock price dropped 3.6% last week; private companies would not be happy

ENXTBR:VGP
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Key Insights

  • The considerable ownership by private companies in VGP indicates that they collectively have a greater say in management and business strategy
  • A total of 3 investors have a majority stake in the company with 51% ownership
  • Insider ownership in VGP is 13%

To get a sense of who is truly in control of VGP NV (EBR:VGP), it is important to understand the ownership structure of the business. We can see that private companies own the lion's share in the company with 38% ownership. In other words, the group stands to gain the most (or lose the most) from their investment into the company.

And following last week's 3.6% decline in share price, private companies suffered the most losses.

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of VGP.

View our latest analysis for VGP

ownership-breakdown
ENXTBR:VGP Ownership Breakdown December 18th 2023

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About VGP?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

We can see that VGP does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see VGP's historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ENXTBR:VGP Earnings and Revenue Growth December 18th 2023

We note that hedge funds don't have a meaningful investment in VGP. Looking at our data, we can see that the largest shareholder is VM Invest NV with 19% of shares outstanding. Meanwhile, the second and third largest shareholders, hold 19% and 13%, of the shares outstanding, respectively. Jan Van Geet, who is the third-largest shareholder, also happens to hold the title of Member of the Board of Directors.

A more detailed study of the shareholder registry showed us that 3 of the top shareholders have a considerable amount of ownership in the company, via their 51% stake.

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. There are a reasonable number of analysts covering the stock, so it might be useful to find out their aggregate view on the future.

Insider Ownership Of VGP

While the precise definition of an insider can be subjective, almost everyone considers board members to be insiders. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

Most consider insider ownership a positive because it can indicate the board is well aligned with other shareholders. However, on some occasions too much power is concentrated within this group.

Our most recent data indicates that insiders own a reasonable proportion of VGP NV. It is very interesting to see that insiders have a meaningful €351m stake in this €2.6b business. Most would say this shows a good degree of alignment with shareholders, especially in a company of this size. You can click here to see if those insiders have been buying or selling.

General Public Ownership

The general public, who are usually individual investors, hold a 35% stake in VGP. While this group can't necessarily call the shots, it can certainly have a real influence on how the company is run.

Private Company Ownership

We can see that Private Companies own 38%, of the shares on issue. It might be worth looking deeper into this. If related parties, such as insiders, have an interest in one of these private companies, that should be disclosed in the annual report. Private companies may also have a strategic interest in the company.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand VGP better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for VGP you should know about.

If you are like me, you may want to think about whether this company will grow or shrink. Luckily, you can check this free report showing analyst forecasts for its future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether VGP is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.