Tessenderlo Group Valuation

Is TESB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TESB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TESB (€21.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€34.69)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TESB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TESB?

Key metric: As TESB is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TESB. This is calculated by dividing TESB's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TESB's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.9x
Earnings€89.50m
Market Cap€1.33b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TESB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TESB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.5x
SOLV Solvac
16.7xn/a€2.1b
VIO Viohalco
15.7xn/a€1.3b
094426466 SCR-Sibelco
10.9xn/a€2.1b
BEKB NV Bekaert
6.8x6.6%€1.7b
TESB Tessenderlo Group
14.9x11.8%€1.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TESB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the peer average (12.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TESB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TESB 14.9xIndustry Avg. 17.1xNo. of Companies12PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TESB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (17.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TESB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TESB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.9x
Fair PE Ratio11x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TESB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TESB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€21.80
€30.67
+40.7%
6.1%€32.00€28.00n/a3
Nov ’25€24.90
€30.67
+23.2%
6.1%€32.00€28.00n/a3
Oct ’25€25.20
€30.67
+21.7%
6.1%€32.00€28.00n/a3
Sep ’25€24.80
€30.67
+23.7%
6.1%€32.00€28.00n/a3
Aug ’25€23.80
€31.33
+31.7%
8.0%€34.00€28.00n/a3
Jul ’25€23.65
€35.33
+49.4%
18.7%€44.00€28.00n/a3
Jun ’25€25.45
€35.33
+38.8%
18.7%€44.00€28.00n/a3
May ’25€24.10
€35.33
+46.6%
18.7%€44.00€28.00n/a3
Apr ’25€24.25
€39.00
+60.8%
12.8%€44.00€34.00n/a2
Mar ’25€24.95
€38.33
+53.6%
11.7%€44.00€33.00n/a3
Feb ’25€26.50
€38.33
+44.7%
11.7%€44.00€33.00n/a3
Jan ’25€28.25
€38.33
+35.7%
11.7%€44.00€33.00n/a3
Dec ’24€28.05
€38.33
+36.7%
11.7%€44.00€33.00n/a3
Nov ’24€27.50
€38.33
+39.4%
11.7%€44.00€33.00€24.903
Oct ’24€27.30
€38.33
+40.4%
11.7%€44.00€33.00€25.203
Sep ’24€28.45
€38.33
+34.7%
11.7%€44.00€33.00€24.803

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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