Stock Analysis

Deceuninck (EBR:DECB) Shareholders Have Enjoyed A 23% Share Price Gain

ENXTBR:DECB
Source: Shutterstock

Passive investing in index funds can generate returns that roughly match the overall market. But one can do better than that by picking better than average stocks (as part of a diversified portfolio). To wit, the Deceuninck NV (EBR:DECB) share price is 23% higher than it was a year ago, much better than the market decline of around 9.5% (not including dividends) in the same period. If it can keep that out-performance up over the long term, investors will do very well! On the other hand, longer term shareholders have had a tougher run, with the stock falling 21% in three years.

See our latest analysis for Deceuninck

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During the last year Deceuninck saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop below zero. While this may prove temporary, we'd consider it a negative, so we would not have expected to see the share price up. We might get a clue to explain the share price move by looking to other metrics.

We are skeptical of the suggestion that the 1.2% dividend yield would entice buyers to the stock. Deceuninck's revenue actually dropped 5.4% over last year. So the fundamental metrics don't provide an obvious explanation for the share price gain.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ENXTBR:DECB Earnings and Revenue Growth January 25th 2021

Take a more thorough look at Deceuninck's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Deceuninck has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 23% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 3%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Deceuninck is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those make us uncomfortable...

Of course Deceuninck may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on BE exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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