Stock Analysis

If You Like EPS Growth Then Check Out Alliance Aviation Services (ASX:AQZ) Before It's Too Late

ASX:AQZ
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For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to investors, even if it completely lacks a track record of revenue and profit. But as Warren Buffett has mused, 'If you've been playing poker for half an hour and you still don't know who the patsy is, you're the patsy.' When they buy such story stocks, investors are all too often the patsy.

If, on the other hand, you like companies that have revenue, and even earn profits, then you may well be interested in Alliance Aviation Services (ASX:AQZ). While profit is not necessarily a social good, it's easy to admire a business that can consistently produce it. In comparison, loss making companies act like a sponge for capital - but unlike such a sponge they do not always produce something when squeezed.

Check out our latest analysis for Alliance Aviation Services

How Fast Is Alliance Aviation Services Growing?

If you believe that markets are even vaguely efficient, then over the long term you'd expect a company's share price to follow its earnings per share (EPS). That means EPS growth is considered a real positive by most successful long-term investors. Impressively, Alliance Aviation Services has grown EPS by 19% per year, compound, in the last three years. If the company can sustain that sort of growth, we'd expect shareholders to come away winners.

One way to double-check a company's growth is to look at how its revenue, and earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins are changing. Alliance Aviation Services shareholders can take confidence from the fact that EBIT margins are up from 13% to 21%, and revenue is growing. Ticking those two boxes is a good sign of growth, in my book.

You can take a look at the company's revenue and earnings growth trend, in the chart below. For finer detail, click on the image.

earnings-and-revenue-history
ASX:AQZ Earnings and Revenue History June 5th 2021

In investing, as in life, the future matters more than the past. So why not check out this free interactive visualization of Alliance Aviation Services's forecast profits?

Are Alliance Aviation Services Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

It makes me feel more secure owning shares in a company if insiders also own shares, thusly more closely aligning our interests. So it is good to see that Alliance Aviation Services insiders have a significant amount of capital invested in the stock. To be specific, they have AU$29m worth of shares. That shows significant buy-in, and may indicate conviction in the business strategy. Even though that's only about 4.2% of the company, it's enough money to indicate alignment between the leaders of the business and ordinary shareholders.

It's good to see that insiders are invested in the company, but are remuneration levels reasonable? A brief analysis of the CEO compensation suggests they are. For companies with market capitalizations between AU$258m and AU$1.0b, like Alliance Aviation Services, the median CEO pay is around AU$892k.

Alliance Aviation Services offered total compensation worth AU$653k to its CEO in the year to . That comes in below the average for similar sized companies, and seems pretty reasonable to me. While the level of CEO compensation isn't a huge factor in my view of the company, modest remuneration is a positive, because it suggests that the board keeps shareholder interests in mind. I'd also argue reasonable pay levels attest to good decision making more generally.

Is Alliance Aviation Services Worth Keeping An Eye On?

Given my belief that share price follows earnings per share you can easily imagine how I feel about Alliance Aviation Services's strong EPS growth. If you need more convincing beyond that EPS growth rate, don't forget about the reasonable remuneration and the high insider ownership. Each to their own, but I think all this makes Alliance Aviation Services look rather interesting indeed. Even so, be aware that Alliance Aviation Services is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is potentially serious...

Although Alliance Aviation Services certainly looks good to me, I would like it more if insiders were buying up shares. If you like to see insider buying, too, then this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying, could be exactly what you're looking for.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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