Superloop Limited (ASX:SLC): Are Forecast Margins sustainable?

With analysts projecting Superloop Limited (ASX:SLC) to record triple digit earnings growth over the next year, it’s necessary to take a moment and think through this convinving vision. Those invested in the stock should contemplate the factors that are causing this growth, as the return realised by shareholders may look different in the future if underlying assumptions are not realised. To get a preliminary understanding, this article will interpret Superloop’s margin performance so investors can evaluate the revenue and cost drivers behind future earnings projections and understand how they may impact on returns compared to the industry.

Check out our latest analysis for Superloop

What does SLC’s profit margin tell us?

Attractive margins generally indicate a desirable ability to translate sales revenue in to earnings, and return for shareholders. Knowing the portion of top line revenue that is turned into net income helps to assess this ability whilst spotting profit drivers, and can be found by calculating SLC’s profit margin.

Margin Calculation for SLC

Profit Margin = Net Income ÷ Revenue

∴ Profit Margin = 2.52 Million ÷ 107.04 Million = 2.35%

There has been a contraction in Superloop’s margin over the past five years, as a result of triple digit revenue growth exceeding average net income growth of 48.14%, which means that although revenue has increased, a smaller portion falls in to the bottom line. The current 2.35% margin seems to continue this movement, indicating that earnings growth has likely been driven through an increase in revenue rather than improved cost management.

Using Superloop’s margin expectations as a way to understand projections for the future

Margins are expected to reverse its previous trend and start to expand, with an expectation of 14.15% in annual revenue growth and annual net income growth forecasted at 67.22%. This suggests future earnings growth is driven further by enhanced cost efficiency alongside revenue increases, which is enlarging the incremental amount of net income that is retained from the forecasted revenue growth. However, those interested in the company should remember that a expanding margin can hold various implications on the company’s performance depending on how it operates, which makes further research very important.

ASX:SLC Future Profit May 15th 18
ASX:SLC Future Profit May 15th 18
In many situations, looking at a company’s profit margin in relation to other similar businesses can be more informative. For SLC, it is expected that profit margins will expand whilst the Telecom industry margins contract, whilst at the same time, the industry’s forecasted ROE of 16.50% exceeds that of the expected 3.44% ROE for SLC. This serves as an indication that analysts covering the stock expect the nature of Superloop’s earnings will produce a lower return per dollar of equity compared to the industry. But before moving forward, it must be remembered that bottom line earnings and profit margins are susceptible to being manipulated and don’t always give the full picture. Thus, it is essential to run your own analysis on Superloop’s future earnings whilst maintaining a watchful eye over the sustainability of their cost management methods and the runway for top line growth.

Next Steps:

For SLC, I’ve compiled three relevant factors you should further examine:

  1. Financial Health: Does it have a healthy balance sheet? Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis with six simple checks on key factors like leverage and risk.
  2. Valuation: What is SLC worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether SLC is currently mispriced by the market.
  3. Other High-Growth Alternatives : Are there other high-growth stocks you could be holding instead of SLC? Explore our interactive list of stocks with large growth potential to get an idea of what else is out there you may be missing!