Dicker Data Valuation

Is DDR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DDR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DDR (A$8.43) is trading above our estimate of fair value (A$5.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DDR is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DDR?

Key metric: As DDR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DDR. This is calculated by dividing DDR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DDR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19x
EarningsAU$80.00m
Market CapAU$1.52b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DDR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DDR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33.2x
CDA Codan
35.4x17.4%AU$2.9b
AMO Ambertech
11.2xn/aAU$15.3m
AD8 Audinate Group
73x25.0%AU$746.7m
8112 Supreme Electronics
13.1xn/aNT$33.5b
DDR Dicker Data
19x9.3%AU$1.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DDR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19x) compared to the peer average (33.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DDR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Electronic Industry?

50 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DDR 19.0xIndustry Avg. 23.6xNo. of Companies177PE020406080100+
50 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DDR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19x) compared to the Global Electronic industry average (23.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DDR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DDR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19x
Fair PE Ratio30.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DDR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DDR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$8.43
AU$10.51
+24.7%
8.2%AU$12.10AU$9.50n/a8
Nov ’25AU$8.62
AU$10.51
+22.0%
8.2%AU$12.10AU$9.50n/a8
Oct ’25AU$9.36
AU$10.51
+12.3%
8.2%AU$12.10AU$9.50n/a8
Sep ’25AU$9.14
AU$10.47
+14.5%
8.6%AU$12.10AU$9.50n/a8
Aug ’25AU$10.27
AU$10.79
+5.0%
11.0%AU$13.30AU$9.65n/a8
Jul ’25AU$9.47
AU$10.79
+13.9%
11.0%AU$13.30AU$9.65n/a8
Jun ’25AU$9.23
AU$10.87
+17.7%
10.4%AU$13.30AU$9.65n/a8
May ’25AU$10.70
AU$12.11
+13.2%
8.5%AU$13.60AU$10.50n/a8
Apr ’25AU$10.75
AU$12.11
+12.6%
8.5%AU$13.60AU$10.50n/a8
Mar ’25AU$12.43
AU$12.07
-2.9%
9.1%AU$13.60AU$10.20n/a8
Feb ’25AU$11.36
AU$11.49
+1.1%
9.8%AU$13.00AU$10.20n/a7
Jan ’25AU$11.92
AU$10.99
-7.8%
10.2%AU$12.90AU$9.50n/a7
Dec ’24AU$11.45
AU$10.77
-6.0%
9.8%AU$12.90AU$9.50n/a6
Nov ’24AU$10.60
AU$10.63
+0.2%
11.0%AU$12.90AU$9.35AU$8.626
Oct ’24AU$9.72
AU$9.94
+2.3%
13.0%AU$12.60AU$8.40AU$9.366
Sep ’24AU$9.98
AU$9.94
-0.4%
13.0%AU$12.60AU$8.40AU$9.146
Aug ’24AU$8.09
AU$9.58
+18.5%
15.2%AU$12.30AU$7.65AU$10.276
Jul ’24AU$8.22
AU$9.67
+17.6%
14.6%AU$12.30AU$7.65AU$9.476
Jun ’24AU$8.42
AU$9.67
+14.8%
14.6%AU$12.30AU$7.65AU$9.236
May ’24AU$8.05
AU$9.73
+20.8%
15.1%AU$12.30AU$7.50AU$10.706
Apr ’24AU$8.19
AU$9.81
+19.8%
15.0%AU$12.30AU$7.50AU$10.756
Mar ’24AU$8.33
AU$10.03
+20.3%
15.8%AU$12.30AU$7.50AU$12.436
Feb ’24AU$10.72
AU$12.48
+16.4%
7.6%AU$14.20AU$11.50AU$11.366
Jan ’24AU$10.24
AU$12.52
+22.2%
7.5%AU$14.20AU$11.50AU$11.926
Dec ’23AU$11.03
AU$12.72
+15.3%
7.0%AU$14.20AU$11.50AU$11.455
Nov ’23AU$10.42
AU$12.87
+23.5%
7.2%AU$14.20AU$11.50AU$10.605

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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