If You Had Bought Novonix (ASX:NVX) Stock A Year Ago, You Could Pocket A 176% Gain Today

By
Simply Wall St
Published
August 20, 2020

Unless you borrow money to invest, the potential losses are limited. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. Take, for example Novonix Limited (ASX:NVX). Its share price is already up an impressive 176% in the last twelve months. Better yet, the share price has gained 192% in the last quarter. However, the stock hasn't done so well in the longer term, with the stock only up 29% in three years.

See our latest analysis for Novonix

Novonix isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally expect to see good revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

Over the last twelve months, Novonix's revenue grew by 88%. That's well above most other pre-profit companies. Meanwhile, the market has paid attention, sending the share price soaring 176% in response. It's great to see strong revenue growth, but the question is whether it can be sustained. Given the positive sentiment around the stock we're cautious, but there's no doubt its worth watching.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

ASX:NVX Earnings and Revenue Growth August 21st 2020

It's probably worth noting we've seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. That said, we think earnings and revenue growth trends are even more important factors to consider. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

A Different Perspective

Pleasingly, Novonix's total shareholder return last year was 176%. That's better than the annualized TSR of 8.8% over the last three years. These improved returns may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Novonix better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Novonix (2 are concerning) that you should be aware of.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on AU exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
*Interactive Brokers Rated Lowest Cost Broker by StockBrokers.com Annual Online Review 2020


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