Stock Analysis

AVA Risk Group Limited (ASX:AVA) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

ASX:AVA
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You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x AVA Risk Group Limited (ASX:AVA) is a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Electronic companies in Australia have P/S ratios greater than 1.9x and even P/S higher than 8x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

View our latest analysis for AVA Risk Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:AVA Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 3rd 2024

What Does AVA Risk Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, AVA Risk Group has been relatively sluggish. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think AVA Risk Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, AVA Risk Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 5.4%. Revenue has also lifted 22% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the lone analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 42% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 43% growth , the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.

With this information, we find it odd that AVA Risk Group is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What Does AVA Risk Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of AVA Risk Group's revealed that its P/S remains low despite analyst forecasts of revenue growth matching the wider industry. Despite average revenue growth estimates, there could be some unobserved threats keeping the P/S low. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - AVA Risk Group has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.