Megaport Valuation

Is MP1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MP1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MP1 (A$14.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$19.15)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MP1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MP1?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MP1 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue13x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA114.9x
PEG Ratio6.9x

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does MP1's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for MP1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.6x
MAQ Macquarie Technology Group
6.3x7.6%AU$2.2b
NXT NEXTDC
21.4x14.0%AU$9.1b
SOV Sovereign Cloud Holdings
6.2xn/aAU$49.1m
5GN 5G Networks
0.5xn/aAU$52.5m
MP1 Megaport
13.2x17.4%AU$2.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: MP1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (13.2x) compared to the peer average (8.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MP1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global IT Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: MP1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (13.2x) compared to the Global IT industry average (1.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MP1's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MP1 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio13.2x
Fair PS Ratio9.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: MP1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (13.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (9.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MP1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$14.70
AU$15.33
+4.3%
10.5%AU$18.30AU$12.50n/a15
May ’25AU$13.23
AU$15.32
+15.8%
10.3%AU$18.30AU$12.50n/a15
Apr ’25AU$15.00
AU$15.19
+1.3%
12.0%AU$19.04AU$11.50n/a15
Mar ’25AU$14.52
AU$14.62
+0.7%
11.8%AU$19.04AU$11.50n/a15
Feb ’25AU$12.43
AU$14.21
+14.3%
12.0%AU$18.41AU$11.50n/a15
Jan ’25AU$9.20
AU$13.18
+43.3%
18.2%AU$18.56AU$10.00n/a14
Dec ’24AU$9.60
AU$13.18
+37.3%
18.2%AU$18.56AU$10.00n/a14
Nov ’24AU$9.62
AU$13.20
+37.3%
18.2%AU$18.56AU$10.00n/a14
Oct ’24AU$11.79
AU$13.63
+15.6%
19.8%AU$18.00AU$8.00n/a14
Sep ’24AU$12.28
AU$13.52
+10.1%
20.5%AU$18.00AU$8.00n/a14
Aug ’24AU$10.35
AU$11.39
+10.0%
18.9%AU$16.76AU$6.90n/a14
Jul ’24AU$7.19
AU$8.47
+17.7%
35.7%AU$16.32AU$4.80n/a14
Jun ’24AU$7.05
AU$8.35
+18.5%
37.1%AU$16.32AU$4.80n/a14
May ’24AU$5.52
AU$8.16
+47.8%
39.0%AU$16.32AU$4.80AU$13.2314
Apr ’24AU$4.13
AU$8.44
+104.3%
38.9%AU$15.83AU$5.00AU$15.0014
Mar ’24AU$5.65
AU$8.58
+51.8%
35.5%AU$15.83AU$5.20AU$14.5215
Feb ’24AU$5.60
AU$8.89
+58.7%
37.7%AU$16.53AU$5.20AU$12.4315
Jan ’24AU$6.32
AU$10.29
+62.8%
35.7%AU$19.37AU$6.21AU$9.2015
Dec ’23AU$6.89
AU$10.29
+49.3%
35.7%AU$19.37AU$6.21AU$9.6015
Nov ’23AU$6.37
AU$10.29
+61.5%
35.7%AU$19.37AU$6.21AU$9.6215
Oct ’23AU$7.75
AU$11.43
+47.4%
30.6%AU$19.37AU$6.21AU$11.7913
Sep ’23AU$7.00
AU$11.33
+61.9%
29.0%AU$18.15AU$6.21AU$12.2813
Aug ’23AU$8.35
AU$12.02
+43.9%
29.7%AU$17.82AU$5.94AU$10.3512
Jul ’23AU$5.29
AU$13.39
+153.1%
34.5%AU$19.70AU$5.50AU$7.1912
Jun ’23AU$6.98
AU$15.60
+123.5%
25.7%AU$21.77AU$10.65AU$7.0512
May ’23AU$8.62
AU$15.71
+82.2%
26.6%AU$23.04AU$10.65AU$5.5212

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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