Janison Education Group Limited

CHIA:JAN Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$55.9m

Janison Education Group Valuation

Is JAN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of JAN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: JAN (A$0.21) is trading above our estimate of fair value (A$0.15)

Significantly Below Fair Value: JAN is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for JAN?

Key metric: As JAN is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for JAN. This is calculated by dividing JAN's market cap by their current revenue.
What is JAN's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.3x
SalesAU$43.06m
Market CapAU$55.88m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does JAN's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for JAN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.7x
DTC Damstra Holdings
2xn/aAU$60.8m
RKN Reckon
1.2x5.7%AU$64.0m
XF1 Xref
2xn/aAU$40.2m
WSP Whispir
1.5xn/aAU$76.4m
JAN Janison Education Group
1.3x4.4%AU$55.9m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: JAN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the peer average (1.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does JAN's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Software Industry?

16 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ADA Adacel Technologies
0.6x10.4%US$18.36m
MOQ MOQ
0.3xn/aUS$15.57m
DUB Dubber
0.5xn/aUS$12.65m
GTI Gratifii
0.5x32.4%US$9.08m
JAN 1.3xIndustry Avg. 3.1xNo. of Companies19PS02.85.68.411.214+
16 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: JAN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the Australian Software industry average (3.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is JAN's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

JAN PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.3x
Fair PS Ratio1.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: JAN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst JAN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$0.21
AU$0.30
+41.2%
11.6%AU$0.33AU$0.25n/a3
Nov ’25AU$0.18
AU$0.30
+60.3%
11.6%AU$0.33AU$0.25n/a3
Oct ’25AU$0.20
AU$0.30
+48.2%
11.6%AU$0.33AU$0.25n/a3
Sep ’25AU$0.19
AU$0.30
+56.0%
11.6%AU$0.33AU$0.25n/a3
Aug ’25AU$0.27
AU$0.46
+72.2%
38.0%AU$0.70AU$0.31n/a3
Jul ’25AU$0.27
AU$0.46
+69.0%
38.0%AU$0.70AU$0.31n/a3
Jun ’25AU$0.32
AU$0.46
+44.8%
38.0%AU$0.70AU$0.31n/a3
May ’25AU$0.28
AU$0.46
+60.1%
38.0%AU$0.70AU$0.31n/a3
Apr ’25AU$0.30
AU$0.47
+55.7%
32.4%AU$0.70AU$0.31n/a4
Mar ’25AU$0.34
AU$0.52
+55.1%
26.9%AU$0.70AU$0.36n/a3
Feb ’25AU$0.25
AU$0.56
+124.6%
29.4%AU$0.70AU$0.30n/a4
Jan ’25AU$0.26
AU$0.56
+120.2%
29.4%AU$0.70AU$0.30n/a4
Dec ’24AU$0.25
AU$0.56
+124.6%
29.4%AU$0.70AU$0.30n/a4
Nov ’24AU$0.23
AU$0.56
+144.1%
29.4%AU$0.70AU$0.30AU$0.184
Oct ’24AU$0.40
AU$0.67
+67.0%
19.8%AU$0.82AU$0.46AU$0.205
Sep ’24AU$0.45
AU$0.67
+48.5%
19.8%AU$0.82AU$0.46AU$0.195
Aug ’24AU$0.45
AU$0.69
+54.3%
19.5%AU$0.85AU$0.46AU$0.275
Jul ’24AU$0.45
AU$0.69
+56.0%
19.5%AU$0.85AU$0.46AU$0.275
Jun ’24AU$0.39
AU$0.69
+78.0%
19.5%AU$0.85AU$0.46AU$0.325
May ’24AU$0.45
AU$0.69
+54.3%
19.5%AU$0.85AU$0.46AU$0.285
Apr ’24AU$0.35
AU$0.69
+98.3%
19.5%AU$0.85AU$0.46AU$0.305
Mar ’24AU$0.52
AU$0.67
+29.7%
27.3%AU$0.85AU$0.33AU$0.345
Feb ’24AU$0.56
AU$0.64
+14.3%
26.7%AU$0.80AU$0.33AU$0.255
Jan ’24AU$0.56
AU$0.64
+13.8%
26.7%AU$0.80AU$0.33AU$0.265
Dec ’23AU$0.56
AU$0.64
+13.8%
26.7%AU$0.80AU$0.33AU$0.255
Nov ’23AU$0.47
AU$0.66
+41.1%
29.6%AU$0.90AU$0.33AU$0.235

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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