Stock Analysis

Some Confidence Is Lacking In Macquarie Technology Group Limited's (ASX:MAQ) P/S

ASX:MAQ
Source: Shutterstock

When close to half the companies in the IT industry in Australia have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.5x, you may consider Macquarie Technology Group Limited (ASX:MAQ) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 5.8x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Macquarie Technology Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:MAQ Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 28th 2024

What Does Macquarie Technology Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times haven't been great for Macquarie Technology Group as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will improve markedly. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Macquarie Technology Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Macquarie Technology Group?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Macquarie Technology Group would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 6.4% last year. The latest three year period has also seen a 27% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 8.4% during the coming year according to the six analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 7.8% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Macquarie Technology Group's P/S is higher than its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Macquarie Technology Group's P/S

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Seeing as its revenues are forecast to grow in line with the wider industry, it would appear that Macquarie Technology Group currently trades on a higher than expected P/S. The fact that the revenue figures aren't setting the world alight has us doubtful that the company's elevated P/S can be sustainable for the long term. Unless the company can jump ahead of the rest of the industry in the short-term, it'll be a challenge to maintain the share price at current levels.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Macquarie Technology Group that we have uncovered.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Macquarie Technology Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.