Stock Analysis

Cautious Investors Not Rewarding Dubber Corporation Limited's (ASX:DUB) Performance Completely

ASX:DUB
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Dubber Corporation Limited's (ASX:DUB) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.8x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Software industry in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.4x and even P/S above 6x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

View our latest analysis for Dubber

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:DUB Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 17th 2024

What Does Dubber's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Dubber has been doing very well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dwindle, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Dubber's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Dubber's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 83% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 206% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 23%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Dubber's P/S isn't as high compared to that of its industry peers. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Dubber's P/S?

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Dubber revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't boosting its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we assume there are some significant underlying risks to the company's ability to make money which is applying downwards pressure on the P/S ratio. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to perceive a likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with Dubber (including 2 which are a bit concerning).

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.