Adacel Technologies Limited

ASX:ADA Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$28.6m

Adacel Technologies Valuation

Is ADA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ADA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ADA (A$0.38) is trading above our estimate of fair value (A$0.04)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ADA is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ADA?

Key metric: As ADA is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for ADA. This is calculated by dividing ADA's market cap by their current revenue.
What is ADA's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.6x
SalesUS$30.97m
Market CapUS$18.61m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ADA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ADA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8x
UBN Urbanise.com
2.3xn/aAU$28.4m
3DP Pointerra
5.5x56.6%AU$35.3m
YOJ Yojee
22.4xn/aAU$20.1m
ESK Etherstack
1.7xn/aAU$26.4m
ADA Adacel Technologies
0.6x10.4%AU$28.6m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ADA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the peer average (8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does ADA's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Software Industry?

15 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.2.9x15.9%
ADA Adacel Technologies
0.6x10.4%US$18.66m
MOQ MOQ
0.3xn/aUS$15.57m
DUB Dubber
0.5xn/aUS$11.44m
ADA 0.6xIndustry Avg. 2.9xNo. of Companies19PS02.85.68.411.214+
15 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.2.9x27.8%
ADA Adacel Technologies
0.6xn/aUS$18.66m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ADA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the Australian Software industry average (2.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ADA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ADA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.6x
Fair PS Ratio0.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ADA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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