Wesfarmers Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Wesfarmers is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 8.2% and 4.1% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 8.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 34% in 3 years.

Key information

8.2%

Earnings growth rate

8.1%

EPS growth rate

Multiline Retail earnings growth	8.4%
Revenue growth rate	4.1%
Future return on equity	34.0%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	20 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

CHIA:WES - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	49,724	3,263	3,483	4,800	11
6/30/2026	47,602	2,991	3,062	4,454	13
6/30/2025	45,556	2,683	2,828	4,514	13
6/30/2024	44,189	2,557	3,518	4,594	N/A
3/31/2024	43,927	2,532	3,718	4,850	N/A
12/31/2023	43,665	2,506	3,917	5,106	N/A
9/30/2023	43,608	2,486	3,404	4,643	N/A
6/30/2023	43,550	2,465	2,891	4,179	N/A
3/31/2023	42,594	2,494	2,185	3,448	N/A
12/31/2022	41,638	2,523	1,479	2,716	N/A
9/30/2022	39,238	2,438	1,318	2,509	N/A
6/30/2022	36,838	2,352	1,157	2,301	N/A
3/31/2022	35,382	2,278	1,406	2,512	N/A
12/31/2021	33,925	2,203	1,654	2,723	N/A
9/30/2021	33,933	2,292	2,071	3,053	N/A
6/30/2021	33,941	2,380	2,487	3,383	N/A
3/31/2021	33,656	2,133	3,148	4,007	N/A
12/31/2020	33,371	1,885	3,809	4,631	N/A
9/30/2020	32,109	1,754	3,744	4,589	N/A
6/30/2020	30,846	1,622	3,679	4,546	N/A
3/31/2020	29,814	1,805	2,843	3,704	N/A
12/31/2019	28,781	1,987	2,006	2,862	N/A
9/30/2019	28,351	1,964	1,684	2,790	N/A
6/30/2019	27,920	1,940	1,362	2,718	N/A
3/31/2019	27,629	1,876	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2018	27,337	1,811	1,404	3,170	N/A
9/30/2018	27,050	1,610	1,835	3,625	N/A
6/30/2018	26,763	1,409	2,265	4,080	N/A
12/31/2017	43,810	1,861	N/A	4,475	N/A
9/30/2017	54,362	2,311	N/A	4,351	N/A
6/30/2017	64,913	2,760	N/A	4,226	N/A
3/31/2017	67,940	1,732	N/A	3,918	N/A
12/31/2016	67,436	591	N/A	3,609	N/A
9/30/2016	66,709	499	N/A	3,487	N/A
6/30/2016	65,981	407	N/A	3,365	N/A
3/31/2016	64,960	1,432	N/A	3,640	N/A
12/31/2015	63,939	2,457	N/A	3,914	N/A
9/30/2015	63,193	2,449	N/A	3,853	N/A
6/30/2015	62,447	2,440	N/A	3,791	N/A
3/31/2015	61,928	2,028	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2014	61,408	1,615	N/A	3,750	N/A
9/30/2014	60,795	1,563	N/A	3,488	N/A
6/30/2014	60,181	1,510	N/A	3,226	N/A
12/31/2013	57,878	2,114	N/A	3,481	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: WES's forecast earnings growth (8.2% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: WES's earnings (8.2% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (12.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: WES's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: WES's revenue (4.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (5.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: WES's revenue (4.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: WES's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (34%)

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/22 08:12
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Wesfarmers Limited is covered by 29 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Russell Wright	APP Securities Pty Ltd.
Russell Wright	Barclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Thomas Kierath	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited

Wesfarmers Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Wesfarmers Limited Provides Preliminary Earnings Guidance for the Half Year Ended December 31, 2021

Wesfarmers Limited Not Provides Earnings Guidance for the Financial Year of 2021

Recent updates

Nippon Sanso Holdings Corporation (TSE:4091) agreed to acquire Coregas Pty Ltd from Wesfarmers Limited (ASX:WES) for AUD 770 million.

Wesfarmers Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Aug 28, 2025

Wesfarmers Limited Announces Resignation of Robert Geoffrey Scott as Director

Final dividend increased to AU$1.07

Full year 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$2.26 (vs AU$2.18 in FY 2023)

Macquarie and Wesfarmers Reportedly Join the Race for $3 Billion I-MED Sale

Private Equity Reportedly Pursues Ramsay

Wesfarmers Limited Announces Executive Changes

Wesfarmers Reportedly Runs the Ruler over Ramsay Health Care

First half dividend increased to AU$0.91

Wesfarmers Limited Announces Dividend for the Six Months Ended December 31, 2023, Payable on March 27, 2024

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$1.26 (vs AU$1.22 in 1H 2023)

Wesfarmers Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 31, 2024

TPG Capital Reportedly Tests Buyer Interest for the $3.5 Billion-Plus Greencross

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$2.18 (vs AU$2.08 in FY 2022)

Wesfarmers Limited Announces Dividend for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2023, Payable on October 5, 2023

Wesfarmers Limited Announces Management Changes

Wesfarmers Reportedly Among Suitors for Alinta Assets

MD, CEO & Director recently sold AU$9.0m worth of stock

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$1.22 (vs AU$1.07 in 1H 2022)

Wesfarmers Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 26, 2023

Wesfarmers Limited to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Feb 15, 2023

Wesfarmers Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Aug 25, 2023

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$53k worth of stock

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: AU$2.08 (vs AU$2.10 in FY 2021)

Wesfarmers Limited Announces Ordinary Fully Franked Dividend for the Period of Six Months Ended June 20, 2022, Payable on October 6, 2022

Wesfarmers Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 27, 2022

Less than half of directors are independent

An unknown buyer acquired a 2.1% stake in Coles Group Limited (ASX:COL) from Wesfarmers Limited (ASX:WES).

JB Hi-Fi Reportedly Enters the Jaycar Race

Non Executive Director recently bought AU$244k worth of stock

Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$80k worth of stock

First half 2022 earnings: EPS in line with analyst expectations despite revenue beat

Wesfarmers Limited Announces Dividend for the Six Months Ended December 31, 2021, Payable on March 30, 2022

Wesfarmers Limited Provides Preliminary Earnings Guidance for the Half Year Ended December 31, 2021

Upcoming dividend of AU$2.00 per share

Less than half of directors are independent

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$114k worth of stock

Director Sharon Warburton has joined 5th company board

Director Sharon Warburton has joined 5th company board

Director Sharon Warburton has joined 5th company board

Director Sharon Warburton has joined 5th company board

Director Sharon Warburton has joined 5th company board

Director Sharon Warburton has joined 5th company board

Director Sharon Warburton has joined 5th company board

Director Sharon Warburton has joined 5th company board

Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS AU$2.10 (vs AU$1.43 in FY 2020)

Wesfarmers, Brookfield Eye Icon

Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$55k worth of stock

New 90-day low: AU$49.24

Wesfarmers Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 21, 2021

First half 2021 earnings released: EPS AU$1.23 (vs AU$1.00 in 1H 2020)

Revenue misses expectations

Wesfarmers Limited and Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. Announces Joint Approval of Mt Holland Lithium Project Final Investment Decision

Wesfarmers Limited Appoints Anil Sabharwal as Director

New 90-day high: AU$55.26

New 90-day high: AU$51.77

Wesfarmers Limited to Report First Half, 2021 Results on Feb 18, 2021

Wesfarmers Limited Announces Appointment of Anil Sabharwal to the Board

New 90-day high: AU$51.14

New 90-day high: AU$50.06

Wesfarmers Limited Announces Retirement of Diane Smith-Gander AO as Non-Executive Director

Wesfarmers Limited Not Provides Earnings Guidance for the Financial Year of 2021

Earnings released

New 90-day high - AU$47.38

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data Sources

Analysis Model and Snowflake