Stock Analysis

Supply Network's (ASX:SNL) Dividend Will Be Increased To A$0.28

ASX:SNL
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Supply Network Limited (ASX:SNL) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 3rd of October to A$0.28. This takes the dividend yield to 3.8%, which shareholders will be pleased with.

See our latest analysis for Supply Network

Supply Network's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Prior to this announcement, Supply Network's dividend was making up a very large proportion of earnings and perhaps more concerning was that it was 112% of cash flows. Paying out such a high proportion of cash flows certainly exposes the company to cutting the dividend if cash flows were to reduce.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 35.2% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 73% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.

historic-dividend
ASX:SNL Historic Dividend August 28th 2023

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The annual payment during the last 10 years was A$0.075 in 2013, and the most recent fiscal year payment was A$0.56. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 22% over that duration. Supply Network has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. It's encouraging to see that Supply Network has been growing its earnings per share at 25% a year over the past five years. Earnings per share is growing nicely, but the company is paying out most of its earnings as dividends. This might be sustainable, but we wonder why Supply Network is not retaining those earnings to reinvest in growth.

In Summary

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Supply Network will make a great income stock. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. As an example, we've identified 3 warning signs for Supply Network that you should be aware of before investing. Is Supply Network not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.