Charter Hall Retail REIT Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Charter Hall Retail REIT's revenue is forecast to decline at 2.5% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 22.3% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 21.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 5.4% in 3 years.

Key information

22.3%

Earnings growth rate

21.6%

EPS growth rate

Retail REITs earnings growth	17.5%
Revenue growth rate	-2.5%
Future return on equity	5.4%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	02 Oct 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

CHIA:CQR - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	252	183	125	155	6
6/30/2026	242	174	125	151	5
6/30/2025	234	149	133	145	6
6/30/2024	286	17	149	149	N/A
3/31/2024	255	-56	151	151	N/A
12/31/2023	223	-129	153	153	N/A
9/30/2023	239	-46	158	158	N/A
6/30/2023	254	38	162	162	N/A
3/31/2023	331	229	163	163	N/A
12/31/2022	407	420	163	163	N/A
9/30/2022	453	542	161	161	N/A
6/30/2022	499	664	158	158	N/A
3/31/2022	501	620	156	156	N/A
12/31/2021	503	577	155	155	N/A
9/30/2021	432	434	155	155	N/A
6/30/2021	362	291	155	155	N/A
3/31/2021	310	176	147	147	N/A
12/31/2020	258	60	139	139	N/A
9/30/2020	253	52	136	136	N/A
6/30/2020	248	44	133	133	N/A
3/31/2020	239	54	132	132	N/A
12/31/2019	229	64	131	131	N/A
9/30/2019	225	59	122	122	N/A
6/30/2019	222	53	114	114	N/A
3/31/2019	224	87	116	116	N/A
12/31/2018	226	121	117	117	N/A
9/30/2018	233	134	118	118	N/A
6/30/2018	239	146	118	118	N/A
3/31/2018	240	150	N/A	117	N/A
12/31/2017	242	153	N/A	117	N/A
9/30/2017	257	202	N/A	121	N/A
6/30/2017	272	251	N/A	125	N/A
3/31/2017	278	253	N/A	123	N/A
12/31/2016	284	255	N/A	120	N/A
9/30/2016	265	218	N/A	118	N/A
6/30/2016	246	181	N/A	115	N/A
12/31/2015	235	183	N/A	116	N/A
9/30/2015	231	178	N/A	114	N/A
6/30/2015	227	172	N/A	113	N/A
12/31/2014	223	161	N/A	112	N/A
9/30/2014	216	147	N/A	98	N/A
6/30/2014	209	133	N/A	84	N/A
3/31/2014	202	122	N/A	78	N/A
12/31/2013	196	111	N/A	73	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: CQR's forecast earnings growth (22.3% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: CQR's earnings (22.3% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (12.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: CQR's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: CQR's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-2.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: CQR's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-2.5% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: CQR's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (5.4%).

Charter Hall Retail REIT Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Charter Hall Retail REIT Provides Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2024

Charter Hall Retail REIT Reaffirms Financial Guidance for Fiscal Year 2023

Charter Hall Retail REIT Reaffirm Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal year 2023

Charter Hall Retail Real Estate Investment Trust Reiterates Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2022

Recent updates

Charter Hall Retail REIT, Annual General Meeting, Oct 30, 2024

Full year 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.03 (vs AU$0.065 in FY 2023)

Now 22% undervalued

First half dividend reduced to AU$0.12

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Charter Hall Retail REIT to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Aug 16, 2024

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

First half 2024 earnings released: AU$0.072 loss per share (vs AU$0.21 profit in 1H 2023)

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.12 per share at 6.8% yield

An unknown buyer entered into an agreement to acquire Rosebud Plaza, Victoria from Charter Hall Retail REIT (ASX:CQR) for AUD 140 million.

Charter Hall Retail REIT to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Feb 16, 2024

Charter Hall Retail Reit Announces Dividend, Payable on February 29, 2024

Charter Hall Retail REIT Provides Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2024

Charter Hall Retail REIT, Annual General Meeting, Nov 01, 2023

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

New minor risk - Profit margin trend

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.065 (vs AU$1.15 in FY 2022)

An unknown buyer acquired Brickworks Marketplace, SA from Charter Hall Retail REIT (ASX:CQR) for AUD 85 million.

Charter Hall Retail REIT to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Aug 15, 2023

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Key Executive recently bought AU$180k worth of stock

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.21 (vs AU$0.64 in 1H 2022)

Charter Hall Retail REIT Reaffirms Financial Guidance for Fiscal Year 2023

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.13 per share

Charter Hall Retail REIT Announces Distribution for the Six Months Ended December 31, 2022, Payable on February 28, 2023

Charter Hall Retail REIT Reaffirms Distribution of Fiscal Year 2023

Charter Hall Retail REIT Reaffirm Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal year 2023

Exceed Capital Pty Ltd acquired Allenstown Square Rockhampton from Charter Hall Retail REIT (ASX:CQR).

Charter Hall Retail REIT (ASX:CQR) acquired Castlereagh St tower from Country State Development for AUD 150.

Charter Hall Retail REIT (ASX:CQR) entered into agreement to acquire 49% stake in A portfolio of 51 Long WALE convenience retail properties from Z Energy Limited for NZD 132 million.

Charter Hall Retail REIT (ASX:CQR) agreed to acquire 49% stake in A portfolio of 51 Long WALE convenience retail properties from Z Energy Limited for NZ$ 132 million.

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: AU$1.15 (vs AU$0.51 in FY 2021)

Charter Hall Retail REIT Provides Dividend Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2023

Charter Hall Retail REIT (ASX:CQR) acquired Portfolio of 18 Gul service stations in New Zealand for NZD 64.5 million.

Charter Hall Retail REIT Declares Distribution for the Period Ending June 30, 2022, Payable on August 31, 2022

Charter Hall Retail REIT to Report Fiscal Year 2022 Results on Aug 25, 2022

First half 2022 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectations

CHARTER HALL RETAIL REIT Announces Ordinary Dividend for the Period Ended December 31, 2021, Payable on February 28, 2022

Charter Hall Retail Real Estate Investment Trust Reiterates Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2022

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.12 per share

Insufficient new directors

Charter Hall Retail Real Estate Investment Trust (ASX:CQR) agreed to acquire Portfolio of 20 core freehold convenience retail sites from Ampol Limited (ASX:ALD) for AUD 50.5 million.

Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS AU$0.51 (vs AU$0.095 in FY 2020)

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.13 per share

Charter Hall Retail Real Estate Investment Trust (ASX:CQR) agreed to acquire Butler Central Shopping Centre in Butler from Woolworths Group Limited (ASX:WOW) for AUD 51.2 million.

First half 2021 earnings released: EPS AU$0.14 (vs AU$0.15 in 1H 2020)

Charter Hall Retail Real Estate Investment Trust to Report First Half, 2021 Results on Feb 17, 2021

New 90-day high: AU$3.65

New 90-day high: AU$3.57

Charter Hall Long WALE REIT (ASX:CLW) and Charter Hall Retail Real Estate Investment Trust (ASX:CQR) entered into an agreement to acquire a 49% stake in Portfolio of 70 Long WALE NNN Convenience Retail Properties in New Zealand from BP Oil New Zealand Limited for approximately NZD 260 million.

Earnings released

Charter Hall Long WALE REIT (ASX:CLW), Charter Hall Retail Real Estate Investment Trust (ASX:CQR) and Charter Hall Group (ASX:CHC) completed the acquisition of 49% stake in National Portfolio of 225 Long WALE Convenience Retail Properties from BP Australia Pty Limited.

Charter Hall Retail Real Estate Investment Trust to Report Fiscal Year 2020 Results on Aug 13, 2020

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

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