Hotel Property Investments

ASX:HPI Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$710.6m

Hotel Property Investments Valuation

Is HPI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HPI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HPI (A$3.67) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$3.7)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HPI is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HPI?

Key metric: As HPI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HPI. This is calculated by dividing HPI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HPI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20x
EarningsAU$36.00m
Market CapAU$710.63m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HPI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HPI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average43.7x
RFF Rural Funds Group
8.8x-7.2%AU$738.5m
HCW HealthCo Healthcare and Wellness REIT
88.7xn/aAU$631.6m
CDP Carindale Property Trust
49.6x59.3%AU$378.1m
ARF Arena REIT
27.6x6.7%AU$1.6b
HPI Hotel Property Investments
20x4.8%AU$710.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HPI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20x) compared to the peer average (43.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HPI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Hotel and Resort REITs Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HPI 20.0xIndustry Avg. 17.9xNo. of Companies8PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HPI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20x) compared to the Global Hotel and Resort REITs industry average (17.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HPI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HPI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20x
Fair PE Ratio19.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HPI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HPI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$3.67
AU$3.71
+1.2%
5.0%AU$3.95AU$3.50n/a3
Nov ’25AU$3.55
AU$3.71
+4.6%
5.0%AU$3.95AU$3.50n/a3
Oct ’25AU$3.73
AU$3.49
-6.6%
12.2%AU$3.95AU$2.80n/a4
Sep ’25AU$3.46
AU$3.53
+2.0%
11.1%AU$3.95AU$2.80n/a5
Aug ’25AU$3.36
AU$3.49
+3.9%
10.8%AU$3.85AU$2.80n/a5
Jul ’25AU$3.20
AU$3.42
+6.9%
9.7%AU$3.71AU$2.80n/a5
Jun ’25AU$3.25
AU$3.42
+5.3%
9.7%AU$3.71AU$2.80n/a5
May ’25AU$3.22
AU$3.42
+6.3%
9.7%AU$3.71AU$2.80n/a5
Apr ’25AU$3.38
AU$3.42
+1.2%
9.7%AU$3.71AU$2.80n/a5
Mar ’25AU$2.96
AU$3.56
+20.4%
3.4%AU$3.70AU$3.40n/a4
Feb ’25AU$2.96
AU$3.54
+19.7%
4.5%AU$3.70AU$3.30n/a4
Jan ’25AU$2.87
AU$3.54
+23.5%
4.5%AU$3.70AU$3.30n/a4
Dec ’24AU$2.66
AU$3.54
+33.2%
4.5%AU$3.70AU$3.30n/a4
Nov ’24AU$2.57
AU$3.54
+37.9%
4.5%AU$3.70AU$3.30AU$3.554
Oct ’24AU$2.73
AU$3.46
+26.7%
6.3%AU$3.70AU$3.13AU$3.735
Sep ’24AU$3.01
AU$3.46
+15.0%
6.3%AU$3.70AU$3.13AU$3.465
Aug ’24AU$3.04
AU$3.54
+16.3%
8.8%AU$4.00AU$3.13AU$3.365
Jul ’24AU$3.14
AU$3.58
+13.9%
8.8%AU$4.00AU$3.13AU$3.205
Jun ’24AU$3.45
AU$3.58
+3.7%
8.8%AU$4.00AU$3.13AU$3.255
May ’24AU$3.48
AU$3.58
+2.8%
8.9%AU$4.00AU$3.13AU$3.225
Apr ’24AU$3.40
AU$3.69
+8.5%
6.8%AU$4.00AU$3.30AU$3.384
Mar ’24AU$3.53
AU$3.69
+4.5%
6.8%AU$4.00AU$3.30AU$2.964
Feb ’24AU$3.63
AU$3.64
+0.4%
7.9%AU$4.00AU$3.20AU$2.964
Jan ’24AU$3.56
AU$3.61
+1.3%
7.4%AU$4.00AU$3.20AU$2.875
Dec ’23AU$3.37
AU$3.61
+7.0%
7.4%AU$4.00AU$3.20AU$2.665
Nov ’23AU$3.16
AU$3.62
+14.5%
7.5%AU$4.00AU$3.20AU$2.575

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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