Hotel Property Investments

ASX:HPI Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$736.2m

Hotel Property Investments Valuation

Is HPI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HPI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HPI (A$3.75) is trading above our estimate of fair value (A$3.71)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HPI is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HPI?

Key metric: As HPI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HPI. This is calculated by dividing HPI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HPI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.5x
EarningsAU$36.00m
Market CapAU$736.15m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HPI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HPI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average41.8x
RFF Rural Funds Group
8.1x-6.5%AU$676.2m
HCW HealthCo Healthcare and Wellness REIT
81.5x39.1%AU$562.7m
CDP Carindale Property Trust
50.6xn/aAU$385.4m
ARF Arena REIT
26.9x7.2%AU$1.5b
HPI Hotel Property Investments
20.5x4.8%AU$736.2m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HPI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x) compared to the peer average (41.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HPI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Hotel and Resort REITs Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HPI 20.5xIndustry Avg. 18.1xNo. of Companies10PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HPI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x) compared to the Global Hotel and Resort REITs industry average (18.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HPI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HPI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.5x
Fair PE Ratio19.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HPI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HPI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$3.75
AU$3.73
-0.4%
4.9%AU$3.95AU$3.50n/a3
Dec ’25AU$3.70
AU$3.71
+0.4%
5.0%AU$3.95AU$3.50n/a3
Nov ’25AU$3.55
AU$3.71
+4.6%
5.0%AU$3.95AU$3.50n/a3
Oct ’25AU$3.73
AU$3.49
-6.6%
12.2%AU$3.95AU$2.80n/a4
Sep ’25AU$3.46
AU$3.53
+2.0%
11.1%AU$3.95AU$2.80n/a5
Aug ’25AU$3.36
AU$3.49
+3.9%
10.8%AU$3.85AU$2.80n/a5
Jul ’25AU$3.20
AU$3.42
+6.9%
9.7%AU$3.71AU$2.80n/a5
Jun ’25AU$3.25
AU$3.42
+5.3%
9.7%AU$3.71AU$2.80n/a5
May ’25AU$3.22
AU$3.42
+6.3%
9.7%AU$3.71AU$2.80n/a5
Apr ’25AU$3.38
AU$3.42
+1.2%
9.7%AU$3.71AU$2.80n/a5
Mar ’25AU$2.96
AU$3.56
+20.4%
3.4%AU$3.70AU$3.40n/a4
Feb ’25AU$2.96
AU$3.54
+19.7%
4.5%AU$3.70AU$3.30n/a4
Jan ’25AU$2.87
AU$3.54
+23.5%
4.5%AU$3.70AU$3.30n/a4
Dec ’24AU$2.66
AU$3.54
+33.2%
4.5%AU$3.70AU$3.30AU$3.704
Nov ’24AU$2.57
AU$3.54
+37.9%
4.5%AU$3.70AU$3.30AU$3.554
Oct ’24AU$2.73
AU$3.46
+26.7%
6.3%AU$3.70AU$3.13AU$3.735
Sep ’24AU$3.01
AU$3.46
+15.0%
6.3%AU$3.70AU$3.13AU$3.465
Aug ’24AU$3.04
AU$3.54
+16.3%
8.8%AU$4.00AU$3.13AU$3.365
Jul ’24AU$3.14
AU$3.58
+13.9%
8.8%AU$4.00AU$3.13AU$3.205
Jun ’24AU$3.45
AU$3.58
+3.7%
8.8%AU$4.00AU$3.13AU$3.255
May ’24AU$3.48
AU$3.58
+2.8%
8.9%AU$4.00AU$3.13AU$3.225
Apr ’24AU$3.40
AU$3.69
+8.5%
6.8%AU$4.00AU$3.30AU$3.384
Mar ’24AU$3.53
AU$3.69
+4.5%
6.8%AU$4.00AU$3.30AU$2.964
Feb ’24AU$3.63
AU$3.64
+0.4%
7.9%AU$4.00AU$3.20AU$2.964
Jan ’24AU$3.56
AU$3.61
+1.3%
7.4%AU$4.00AU$3.20AU$2.875
Dec ’23AU$3.37
AU$3.61
+7.0%
7.4%AU$4.00AU$3.20AU$2.665

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/31 20:47
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/31 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Hotel Property Investments is covered by 9 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Russell WrightBarclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Fiona BuchananCGS International
Ben BrownetteDeutsche Bank