Garda Property Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Garda Property Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 81.2% and 3.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 80.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 5.5% in 3 years.

Key information

81.2%

Earnings growth rate

80.8%

EPS growth rate

Industrial REITs earnings growth	31.4%
Revenue growth rate	3.2%
Future return on equity	5.5%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	22 Oct 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Do Insiders Own Lots Of Shares In Garda Property Group (ASX:GDF)?

Mar 10

Garda Property Group's (ASX:GDF) Fundamentals Look Pretty Strong: Could The Market Be Wrong About The Stock?

Feb 12

Shareholders Of Garda Property Group (ASX:GDF) Must Be Happy With Their 82% Return

Jan 17

Should You Take Comfort From Insider Transactions At Garda Property Group (ASX:GDF)?

Dec 21

Here's What Garda Property Group's (ASX:GDF) Shareholder Ownership Structure Looks Like

Nov 24

What Kind Of Investors Own Most Of Garda Property Group (ASX:GDF)?

Aug 24

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:GDF - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	33	32	N/A	20	1
6/30/2026	28	30	N/A	19	1
6/30/2025	25	14	N/A	27	1
6/30/2024	31	-43	7	7	N/A
3/31/2024	32	-41	7	7	N/A
12/31/2023	32	-39	7	7	N/A
9/30/2023	32	-22	10	10	N/A
6/30/2023	32	-5	12	12	N/A
3/31/2023	31	35	14	14	N/A
12/31/2022	31	75	16	16	N/A
9/30/2022	32	108	17	17	N/A
6/30/2022	34	141	18	18	N/A
3/31/2022	34	115	16	16	N/A
12/31/2021	34	90	14	14	N/A
9/30/2021	32	63	13	13	N/A
6/30/2021	31	36	12	12	N/A
3/31/2021	31	26	12	12	N/A
12/31/2020	31	16	12	12	N/A
9/30/2020	31	11	13	13	N/A
6/30/2020	30	6	14	14	N/A
3/31/2020	28	11	15	15	N/A
12/31/2019	27	16	16	16	N/A
9/30/2019	26	22	18	18	N/A
6/30/2019	25	29	21	21	N/A
3/31/2019	24	31	20	20	N/A
12/31/2018	22	32	19	19	N/A
9/30/2018	21	28	15	15	N/A
6/30/2018	19	24	11	11	N/A
3/31/2018	20	23	N/A	10	N/A
12/31/2017	20	21	N/A	9	N/A
9/30/2017	20	21	N/A	10	N/A
6/30/2017	20	20	N/A	10	N/A
3/31/2017	19	19	N/A	10	N/A
12/31/2016	18	18	N/A	10	N/A
9/30/2016	18	18	N/A	10	N/A
6/30/2016	17	18	N/A	9	N/A
3/31/2016	17	8	N/A	5	N/A
12/31/2015	16	-3	N/A	0	N/A
9/30/2015	17	-5	N/A	-1	N/A
6/30/2015	17	-6	N/A	-2	N/A
3/31/2015	18	-5	N/A	0	N/A
12/31/2014	19	-3	N/A	3	N/A
9/30/2014	19	-7	N/A	3	N/A
6/30/2014	19	-10	N/A	3	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: GDF is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: GDF is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: GDF is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: GDF's revenue (3.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (5.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GDF's revenue (3.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: GDF's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (5.5%).

Garda Property Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 11%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 16%

Consensus forecasts updated

Price target increased to AU$1.84

Price target increased to AU$1.84

Price target increased to AU$1.64

Recent updates

Garda Property Group, Annual General Meeting, Nov 28, 2024

Fourth quarter dividend of AU$0.018 announced

Tolazo Pty Ltd acquired Industrial development site at 372 Progress Road, Wacol from Garda Property Group (ASX:GDF) for AUD 13.5 million.

Full year 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Tolazo Pty Ltd entered into an unconditional agreement to acquire Industrial development site at 372 Progress Road, Wacol from Garda Property Group (ASX:GDF) for AUD 13.5 million.

Dividend of AU$0.016 announced

Garda Property Group Announces Fnal Quarterly Distribution of Fiscal Year 2024, Payable on July 16, 2024

Now 21% undervalued

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.016 per share

Dividend of AU$0.016 announced

First half 2024 earnings released: FFO per share: AU$0.03 (vs AU$0.036 in 1H 2023)

Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 11%

Garda Property Group to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Feb 08, 2024

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.016 per share at 6.0% yield

Key Executive recently sold AU$172k worth of stock

Garda Property Group Announces Distribution for the Quarter Ending December 31, 2023, Payable on January 18, 2024

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Minsmere Pty Ltd entered into an unconditional agreement to acquire Melbourne Office Building at 8-10 Cato Street, Hawthorn East from Garda Property Group (ASX:GDF) for AUD 24.1 million.

Garda Property Group, Annual General Meeting, Nov 29, 2023

Garda Property Group, Annual General Meeting, Oct 09, 2023

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.016 per share at 6.4% yield

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

New major risk - Dividend sustainability

Full year 2023 earnings released: FFO per share: AU$0.07 (vs AU$0.08 in FY 2022)

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.018 per share at 5.7% yield

Garda Property Group Announces Distribution for the Quarter Ending June 30, 2023, Payable on July 17, 2023

Now 20% undervalued

Less than half of directors are independent

Key Executive recently sold AU$322k worth of stock

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 16%

First half 2023 earnings released: FFO per share: AU$0.04 (vs AU$0.038 in 1H 2022)

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.018 per share

Garda Property Group Announces Distribution for the Quarter Ending December 31, 2022, Payable on January 17, 2023

Garda Property Group Announces Distribution for the Quarter Ending December 31, 2022, Payable on January 17, 2023

Less than half of directors are independent

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.018 per share

Garda Property Group Declares Ordinary Dividend for the Quarter Ending September 30, 2022 Payable on October 17, 2022

Key Executive recently sold AU$930k worth of stock

Board Member recently sold AU$72k worth of stock

Full year 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analyst expectations

Garda Property Group, Annual General Meeting, Sep 19, 2022

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.018 per share

Garda Property Group Announces Distribution for the Quarter Ending June 30, 2022, Payable on July 15, 2022

Consensus forecasts updated

Price target increased to AU$1.84

Less than half of directors are independent

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.018 per share

Key Executive recently sold AU$1.7m worth of stock

Price target increased to AU$1.84

First half 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.018 per share

Key Executive recently sold AU$331k worth of stock

Non-Executive Director of Garda Capital Limited Philip Lee has left the company

Price target increased to AU$1.64

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.018 per share

Price target increased to AU$1.43

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.018 per share

Consensus forecasts updated

Exceed Capital Pty Ltd completed the acquisition of 154 Varsity Parade, Varsity Lakes from Garda Property Group (ASX:GDF).

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.018 per share

Garda Property Group Announces Dividend for Quarter Ended on March 31, 2021, Payable on April 20, 2021

Do Insiders Own Lots Of Shares In Garda Property Group (ASX:GDF)?

Analysts lower EPS estimates to AU$0.11

First half 2021 earnings released: FFO AU$0.042 per share (vs AU$0.047 in 1H 2020)

Garda Property Group's (ASX:GDF) Fundamentals Look Pretty Strong: Could The Market Be Wrong About The Stock?

Shareholders Of Garda Property Group (ASX:GDF) Must Be Happy With Their 82% Return

Should You Take Comfort From Insider Transactions At Garda Property Group (ASX:GDF)?