Dexus Convenience Retail REIT

ASX:DXC Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$359.5m

Dexus Convenience Retail REIT Valuation

Is DXC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DXC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DXC (A$2.63) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$5.04)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DXC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DXC?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

DXC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue15.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does DXC's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for DXC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.4x
CDP Carindale Property Trust
6.1x-7.0%AU$343.6m
NPR Newmark Property REIT
7.8x6.0%AU$245.4m
WPR Waypoint REIT
9.7x1.9%AU$1.6b
HMC HMC Capital
26.2x20.5%AU$2.2b
DXC Dexus Convenience Retail REIT
6.3x-3.3%AU$359.5m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: DXC is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.3x) compared to the peer average (12.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DXC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Retail REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a24.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a24.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: DXC is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.3x) compared to the Global Retail REITs industry average (5.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DXC's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DXC PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio6.3x
Fair PS Ratio6.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: DXC is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DXC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$2.63
AU$3.14
+19.3%
6.7%AU$3.40AU$2.80n/a5
Apr ’25AU$2.77
AU$3.14
+13.2%
6.7%AU$3.40AU$2.80n/a5
Mar ’25AU$2.74
AU$3.14
+14.5%
6.7%AU$3.40AU$2.80n/a5
Feb ’25AU$2.64
AU$3.12
+18.3%
7.5%AU$3.40AU$2.79n/a5
Jan ’25AU$2.60
AU$3.11
+19.8%
7.9%AU$3.40AU$2.79n/a5
Dec ’24AU$2.50
AU$3.09
+23.7%
7.6%AU$3.40AU$2.79n/a5
Nov ’24AU$2.24
AU$3.21
+43.1%
4.5%AU$3.40AU$3.00n/a4
Oct ’24AU$2.34
AU$3.21
+37.0%
4.5%AU$3.40AU$3.00n/a4
Sep ’24AU$2.51
AU$3.15
+25.4%
5.5%AU$3.40AU$2.92n/a5
Aug ’24AU$2.52
AU$3.23
+28.0%
8.4%AU$3.55AU$2.92n/a5
Jul ’24AU$2.56
AU$3.34
+30.5%
7.5%AU$3.55AU$2.92n/a5
Jun ’24AU$2.53
AU$3.38
+33.7%
8.2%AU$3.69AU$2.92n/a5
May ’24AU$2.69
AU$3.38
+25.8%
8.2%AU$3.69AU$2.92n/a5
Apr ’24AU$2.68
AU$3.38
+26.2%
8.2%AU$3.69AU$2.92AU$2.775
Mar ’24AU$2.78
AU$3.38
+21.7%
8.2%AU$3.69AU$2.92AU$2.745
Feb ’24AU$2.88
AU$3.59
+24.5%
5.9%AU$3.76AU$3.24AU$2.644
Jan ’24AU$2.86
AU$3.62
+26.6%
4.4%AU$3.76AU$3.37AU$2.604
Dec ’23AU$2.82
AU$3.67
+30.2%
4.8%AU$3.83AU$3.37AU$2.504
Nov ’23AU$2.90
AU$3.67
+26.6%
4.8%AU$3.83AU$3.37AU$2.244
Oct ’23AU$2.70
AU$3.67
+35.7%
4.8%AU$3.83AU$3.37AU$2.344
Sep ’23AU$3.00
AU$3.67
+22.2%
4.8%AU$3.83AU$3.37AU$2.514
Aug ’23AU$3.13
AU$3.76
+20.0%
4.9%AU$3.90AU$3.45AU$2.524
Jul ’23AU$2.86
AU$3.91
+36.7%
3.4%AU$4.11AU$3.73AU$2.564
Jun ’23AU$3.14
AU$4.01
+27.7%
5.4%AU$4.30AU$3.73AU$2.534
May ’23AU$3.48
AU$4.04
+15.9%
5.1%AU$4.30AU$3.73AU$2.694
Apr ’23AU$3.49
AU$4.08
+16.8%
3.6%AU$4.30AU$3.90AU$2.684

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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