Lifestyle Communities Limited

CHIA:LIC Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$1.0b

Lifestyle Communities Valuation

Is LIC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LIC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
AU$2.64
Fair Value
226.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
10
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: LIC (A$8.64) is trading above our estimate of fair value (A$2.64)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LIC is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LIC?

Key metric: As LIC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LIC. This is calculated by dividing LIC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LIC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.9x
EarningsAU$49.98m
Market CapAU$1.05b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LIC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LIC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.5x
PPC Peet
19xn/aAU$693.0m
CWP Cedar Woods Properties
10.7x13.1%AU$434.8m
FRI Finbar Group
13.1xn/aAU$217.7m
UOS United Overseas Australia
11.1xn/aAU$891.9m
LIC Lifestyle Communities
20.9x20.8%AU$1.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LIC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the peer average (13.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LIC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Real Estate Industry?

96 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LIC 20.9xIndustry Avg. 14.6xNo. of Companies174PE01224364860+
96 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LIC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the Global Real Estate industry average (14.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LIC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LIC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.9x
Fair PE Ratio17.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LIC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LIC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$8.64
AU$10.07
+16.5%
11.4%AU$12.00AU$8.30n/a10
Jan ’26AU$8.61
AU$10.07
+16.9%
11.4%AU$12.00AU$8.30n/a10
Dec ’25AU$9.06
AU$10.07
+11.1%
11.4%AU$12.00AU$8.30n/a10
Nov ’25AU$8.55
AU$10.40
+21.7%
13.2%AU$13.10AU$8.20n/a10
Oct ’25AU$8.58
AU$11.28
+31.4%
25.0%AU$18.70AU$8.20n/a10
Sep ’25AU$7.67
AU$11.32
+47.6%
24.2%AU$18.70AU$8.20n/a10
Aug ’25AU$9.19
AU$13.60
+48.0%
26.9%AU$18.90AU$8.95n/a10
Jul ’25AU$12.48
AU$16.02
+28.3%
14.1%AU$18.90AU$12.85n/a9
Jun ’25AU$12.28
AU$16.24
+32.2%
13.8%AU$18.90AU$12.85n/a9
May ’25AU$12.01
AU$16.29
+35.7%
14.2%AU$18.90AU$12.85n/a9
Apr ’25AU$15.73
AU$17.62
+12.0%
13.6%AU$21.32AU$14.24n/a9
Mar ’25AU$15.62
AU$17.13
+9.7%
14.5%AU$21.32AU$14.24n/a7
Feb ’25AU$17.47
AU$20.03
+14.7%
13.4%AU$25.25AU$16.96n/a7
Jan ’25AU$18.25
AU$19.56
+7.2%
14.3%AU$25.25AU$16.96AU$8.617
Dec ’24AU$16.77
AU$19.58
+16.8%
14.1%AU$25.25AU$17.00AU$9.067
Nov ’24AU$15.89
AU$19.19
+20.8%
15.0%AU$25.25AU$17.00AU$8.557
Oct ’24AU$16.25
AU$19.15
+17.9%
15.1%AU$25.25AU$17.00AU$8.587
Sep ’24AU$17.32
AU$19.14
+10.5%
15.0%AU$25.15AU$17.00AU$7.677
Aug ’24AU$17.17
AU$18.92
+10.2%
14.3%AU$25.25AU$17.00AU$9.197
Jul ’24AU$15.61
AU$19.75
+26.5%
20.0%AU$27.95AU$17.00AU$12.486
Jun ’24AU$14.94
AU$19.84
+32.8%
19.7%AU$27.95AU$17.10AU$12.286
May ’24AU$16.75
AU$20.12
+20.1%
16.7%AU$27.15AU$17.80AU$12.016
Apr ’24AU$15.91
AU$20.12
+26.4%
16.7%AU$27.15AU$17.80AU$15.736
Mar ’24AU$16.24
AU$19.80
+21.9%
16.6%AU$26.50AU$17.00AU$15.626
Feb ’24AU$19.21
AU$19.43
+1.1%
17.8%AU$26.00AU$15.70AU$17.476
Jan ’24AU$19.19
AU$19.31
+0.6%
17.9%AU$25.75AU$15.70AU$18.256
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
AU$10.08
Fair Value
14.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
10
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/10 02:18
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/10 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Lifestyle Communities Limited is covered by 15 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Nicholas McGarrigleBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Benjamin BrayshawBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Andrew MacFarlaneBell Potter