Alterity Therapeutics Limited

CHIA:ATH Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$16.0m

Alterity Therapeutics Valuation

Is ATH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ATH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate ATH's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate ATH's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ATH?

Key metric: As ATH is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for ATH. This is calculated by dividing ATH's market cap by their current revenue.
What is ATH's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio4x
SalesAU$4.02m
Market CapAU$15.96m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ATH's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ATH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.4x
BIT Biotron
10.4xn/aAU$17.1m
1AD AdAlta
6.6xn/aAU$11.5m
MDC Medlab Clinical
9.8x41.7%AU$15.1m
PAB Patrys
6.6xn/aAU$9.3m
ATH Alterity Therapeutics
4x25.0%AU$16.0m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ATH is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4x) compared to the peer average (7.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does ATH's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Biotechs Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.10.0x8.3%
ATH Alterity Therapeutics
4x25.0%US$10.40m
ARX Aroa Biosurgery
3.6x20.1%US$146.13m
IMC Immuron
3.5x59.7%US$11.20m
ATH 4.0xIndustry Avg. 10.0xNo. of Companies8PS01632486480+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.10.0x15.3%
ATH Alterity Therapeutics
4x-2.7%US$10.40m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ATH is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4x) compared to the Australian Biotechs industry average (10x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ATH's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ATH PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio4x
Fair PS Ratio6.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ATH is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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