Paradigm Biopharmaceuticals Limited

ASX:PAR Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$98.1m

Paradigm Biopharmaceuticals Valuation

Is PAR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PAR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate PAR's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate PAR's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PAR?

Key metric: As PAR is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for PAR. This is calculated by dividing PAR's market cap by their current book value.
What is PAR's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio4x
BookAU$23.81m
Market CapAU$98.10m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does PAR's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for PAR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.3x
CYP Cynata Therapeutics
5.4x34.1%AU$38.4m
BTG Beroni Group
8.7xn/aAU$75.9m
NOX Noxopharm
5.3xn/aAU$30.7m
DXB Dimerix
10xn/aAU$186.6m
PAR Paradigm Biopharmaceuticals
4x8.8%AU$98.1m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: PAR is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (4x) compared to the peer average (6.9x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does PAR's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Biotechs Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BNO Bionomics
0.3x-36.0%US$9.52m
No more companies available in this PB range
PAR 4.0xIndustry Avg. 3.1xNo. of Companies5PB0246810+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: PAR is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (4x) compared to the Australian Biotechs industry average (3.1x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PAR's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PAR PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio4x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate PAR's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PAR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$0.27
AU$0.69
+155.6%
31.9%AU$0.91AU$0.47n/a2
Nov ’25AU$0.20
AU$0.69
+236.6%
31.9%AU$0.91AU$0.47n/a2
Oct ’25AU$0.20
AU$0.69
+253.8%
31.9%AU$0.91AU$0.47n/a2
May ’25AU$0.28
AU$2.30
+705.3%
39.0%AU$3.19AU$1.40n/a2
Apr ’25AU$0.34
AU$2.30
+565.2%
39.0%AU$3.19AU$1.40n/a2
Mar ’25AU$0.34
AU$2.30
+585.1%
39.0%AU$3.19AU$1.40n/a2
Feb ’25AU$0.32
AU$2.30
+628.6%
39.0%AU$3.19AU$1.40n/a2
Jan ’25AU$0.42
AU$2.30
+440.0%
39.0%AU$3.19AU$1.40n/a2
Dec ’24AU$0.40
AU$2.30
+481.0%
39.0%AU$3.19AU$1.40n/a2
Nov ’24AU$0.41
AU$2.30
+453.0%
39.0%AU$3.19AU$1.40AU$0.202
Oct ’24AU$0.61
AU$2.70
+338.2%
18.4%AU$3.19AU$2.20AU$0.202
Sep ’24AU$0.66
AU$2.70
+308.3%
18.4%AU$3.19AU$2.20AU$0.242
Aug ’24AU$0.91
AU$2.70
+194.5%
18.4%AU$3.19AU$2.20AU$0.262
Jul ’24AU$0.99
AU$2.70
+172.2%
18.4%AU$3.19AU$2.20AU$0.292
Jun ’24AU$0.83
AU$2.70
+222.8%
18.4%AU$3.19AU$2.20AU$0.252
May ’24AU$1.00
AU$2.70
+169.5%
18.4%AU$3.19AU$2.20AU$0.282
Apr ’24AU$1.43
AU$2.70
+87.8%
18.4%AU$3.19AU$2.20AU$0.342

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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