Stock Analysis

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Mayne Pharma Group Limited's (ASX:MYX) 30% Share Price Climb

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ASX:MYX

Mayne Pharma Group Limited (ASX:MYX) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 30% after a shaky period beforehand. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 56%.

Although its price has surged higher, Mayne Pharma Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Pharmaceuticals industry in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4.3x and even P/S above 24x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

See our latest analysis for Mayne Pharma Group

ASX:MYX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 1st 2024

How Has Mayne Pharma Group Performed Recently?

Recent times have been advantageous for Mayne Pharma Group as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

Keen to find out how analysts think Mayne Pharma Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Mayne Pharma Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 112% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 3.1% drop in revenue in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 13% each year during the coming three years according to the two analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 13% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Mayne Pharma Group's P/S is lagging behind its industry peers. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Bottom Line On Mayne Pharma Group's P/S

Even after such a strong price move, Mayne Pharma Group's P/S still trails the rest of the industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

It looks to us like the P/S figures for Mayne Pharma Group remain low despite growth that is expected to be in line with other companies in the industry. Despite average revenue growth estimates, there could be some unobserved threats keeping the P/S low. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Mayne Pharma Group that we have uncovered.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.