hipages Group Holdings Limited

CHIA:HPG Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$153.5m

hipages Group Holdings Valuation

Is HPG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HPG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HPG (A$1.13) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$1.93)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HPG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HPG?

Key metric: As HPG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HPG. This is calculated by dividing HPG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HPG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio43.1x
EarningsAU$3.56m
Market CapAU$153.48m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HPG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HPG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.5x
DHG Domain Holdings Australia
41.5x14.5%AU$1.8b
LVE Love Group Global
7.6xn/aAU$4.7m
GTN GTN
15.4x34.3%AU$87.2m
SWM Seven West Media
5.4x13.2%AU$243.1m
HPG hipages Group Holdings
43.1x24.9%AU$153.5m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HPG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.1x) compared to the peer average (17.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HPG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Interactive Media and Services Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HPG 43.1xIndustry Avg. 21.3xNo. of Companies20PE01632486480+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HPG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.1x) compared to the Global Interactive Media and Services industry average (21.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HPG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HPG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio43.1x
Fair PE Ratio22.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HPG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HPG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$1.13
AU$1.73
+53.5%
16.9%AU$2.13AU$1.45n/a3
Nov ’25AU$1.27
AU$1.71
+34.6%
18.0%AU$2.13AU$1.40n/a3
Oct ’25AU$1.22
AU$1.71
+40.2%
18.0%AU$2.13AU$1.40n/a3
Sep ’25AU$1.42
AU$1.59
+12.2%
27.7%AU$2.13AU$1.05n/a3
Aug ’25AU$1.10
AU$1.36
+23.6%
17.5%AU$1.63AU$1.05n/a3
Jul ’25AU$1.05
AU$1.36
+29.5%
17.5%AU$1.63AU$1.05n/a3
Jun ’25AU$1.08
AU$1.36
+26.5%
17.5%AU$1.63AU$1.05n/a3
May ’25AU$1.09
AU$1.36
+25.3%
17.5%AU$1.63AU$1.05n/a3
Apr ’25AU$1.06
AU$1.28
+21.8%
10.1%AU$1.40AU$1.10n/a3
Mar ’25AU$1.13
AU$1.28
+13.7%
10.1%AU$1.40AU$1.10n/a3
Feb ’25AU$0.81
AU$1.27
+57.9%
16.4%AU$1.60AU$1.00n/a5
Jan ’25AU$0.80
AU$1.27
+59.8%
16.4%AU$1.60AU$1.00n/a5
Dec ’24AU$0.67
AU$1.26
+88.4%
18.4%AU$1.60AU$1.00n/a4
Nov ’24AU$0.77
AU$1.26
+65.0%
18.4%AU$1.60AU$1.00AU$1.274
Oct ’24AU$0.82
AU$1.29
+57.0%
21.0%AU$1.70AU$1.00AU$1.224
Sep ’24AU$0.90
AU$1.29
+43.5%
21.0%AU$1.70AU$1.00AU$1.424
Aug ’24AU$0.97
AU$1.41
+45.1%
26.8%AU$1.93AU$1.00AU$1.104
Jul ’24AU$0.77
AU$1.41
+84.0%
26.8%AU$1.93AU$1.00AU$1.054
Jun ’24AU$0.71
AU$1.48
+107.9%
24.7%AU$1.93AU$1.00AU$1.085
May ’24AU$0.83
AU$1.48
+77.8%
24.7%AU$1.93AU$1.00AU$1.095
Apr ’24AU$0.81
AU$1.49
+84.6%
25.1%AU$1.93AU$1.00AU$1.065
Mar ’24AU$0.83
AU$1.49
+79.0%
25.1%AU$1.93AU$1.00AU$1.135
Feb ’24AU$0.97
AU$1.85
+90.8%
22.5%AU$2.45AU$1.20AU$0.815
Jan ’24AU$0.98
AU$1.85
+88.1%
22.6%AU$2.46AU$1.20AU$0.805
Dec ’23AU$1.02
AU$1.85
+81.6%
22.6%AU$2.46AU$1.20AU$0.675
Nov ’23AU$1.07
AU$1.85
+73.9%
22.6%AU$2.46AU$1.20AU$0.775

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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