Frontier Digital Ventures Limited

CHIA:FDV Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$173.4m

Frontier Digital Ventures Valuation

Is FDV undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FDV when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FDV (A$0.4) is trading above our estimate of fair value (A$0.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FDV is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FDV?

Key metric: As FDV is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for FDV. This is calculated by dividing FDV's market cap by their current revenue.
What is FDV's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.4x
SalesAU$72.23m
Market CapAU$173.43m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does FDV's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for FDV vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.1x
HPG hipages Group Holdings
2x9.6%AU$150.8m
ART Airtasker
2.8x13.9%AU$131.5m
OVT Ovanti
6.2xn/aAU$40.5m
RMY RMA Global
1.4x17.0%AU$26.4m
FDV Frontier Digital Ventures
2.4x11.0%AU$173.4m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: FDV is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.4x) compared to the peer average (3.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does FDV's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Interactive Media and Services Industry?

43 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FDV 2.4xIndustry Avg. 1.6xNo. of Companies53PS01.63.24.86.48+
43 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: FDV is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.4x) compared to the Global Interactive Media and Services industry average (1.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FDV's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FDV PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.4x
Fair PS Ratio1.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: FDV is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FDV forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$0.39
AU$0.66
+67.9%
6.9%AU$0.70AU$0.61n/a2
Nov ’25AU$0.43
AU$0.68
+56.3%
2.9%AU$0.70AU$0.66n/a2
Oct ’25AU$0.40
AU$0.68
+72.2%
2.9%AU$0.70AU$0.66n/a2
Sep ’25AU$0.39
AU$0.68
+76.6%
2.9%AU$0.70AU$0.66n/a2
Aug ’25AU$0.42
AU$0.70
+66.7%
5.7%AU$0.74AU$0.66n/a2
Jul ’25AU$0.43
AU$0.74
+72.1%
4.1%AU$0.77AU$0.71n/a2
Jun ’25AU$0.48
AU$0.74
+52.6%
4.1%AU$0.77AU$0.71n/a2
May ’25AU$0.55
AU$0.78
+43.1%
1.3%AU$0.79AU$0.77n/a2
Apr ’25AU$0.59
AU$0.78
+31.1%
1.3%AU$0.79AU$0.77n/a2
Mar ’25AU$0.45
AU$0.78
+73.3%
1.3%AU$0.79AU$0.77n/a2
Feb ’25AU$0.47
AU$0.76
+62.4%
2.0%AU$0.77AU$0.74n/a2
Jan ’25AU$0.55
AU$0.75
+36.4%
1.3%AU$0.76AU$0.74n/a2
Dec ’24AU$0.42
AU$0.75
+76.5%
1.3%AU$0.76AU$0.74n/a2
Nov ’24AU$0.40
AU$0.75
+87.5%
1.3%AU$0.76AU$0.74AU$0.432
Oct ’24AU$0.36
AU$0.67
+86.1%
16.9%AU$0.76AU$0.51AU$0.403
Sep ’24AU$0.38
AU$0.67
+76.3%
16.9%AU$0.76AU$0.51AU$0.393
Aug ’24AU$0.43
AU$0.68
+58.0%
19.3%AU$0.83AU$0.51AU$0.423
Jul ’24AU$0.40
AU$0.72
+82.3%
20.6%AU$0.83AU$0.51AU$0.433
Jun ’24AU$0.37
AU$0.83
+125.2%
28.0%AU$1.05AU$0.51AU$0.483
May ’24AU$0.49
AU$0.83
+68.3%
28.0%AU$1.05AU$0.51AU$0.553
Apr ’24AU$0.69
AU$0.97
+39.1%
33.5%AU$1.23AU$0.51AU$0.593
Mar ’24AU$0.72
AU$1.20
+66.0%
2.9%AU$1.23AU$1.16AU$0.452
Feb ’24AU$0.81
AU$1.26
+54.6%
2.4%AU$1.29AU$1.23AU$0.472
Jan ’24AU$0.68
AU$1.26
+84.6%
2.0%AU$1.28AU$1.23AU$0.552
Dec ’23AU$0.74
AU$1.26
+68.5%
2.0%AU$1.28AU$1.23AU$0.422
Nov ’23AU$0.71
AU$1.26
+75.5%
2.0%AU$1.28AU$1.23AU$0.402

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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