Stock Analysis

Does oOh!media (ASX:OML) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

ASX:OML
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, oOh!media Limited (ASX:OML) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for oOh!media

What Is oOh!media's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that oOh!media had AU$209.6m of debt in December 2020, down from AU$428.8m, one year before. However, it also had AU$80.0m in cash, and so its net debt is AU$129.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:OML Debt to Equity History May 7th 2021

A Look At oOh!media's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, oOh!media had liabilities of AU$211.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of AU$890.5m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of AU$80.0m as well as receivables valued at AU$95.7m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling AU$926.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of AU$1.00b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While oOh!media has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 1.6, its interest cover seems weak, at 0.34. In large part that's it has so much depreciation and amortisation. These charges may be non-cash, so they could be excluded when it comes to paying down debt. But the accounting charges are there for a reason -- some assets are seen to be losing value. Either way there's no doubt the stock is using meaningful leverage. Importantly, oOh!media's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 81% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if oOh!media can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, oOh!media actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

On the face of it, oOh!media's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making oOh!media stock a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. In light of our reservations about the company's balance sheet, it seems sensible to check if insiders have been selling shares recently.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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