Vault Minerals Limited

CHIA:VAU Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$2.7b

Vault Minerals Valuation

Is VAU undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VAU when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VAU (A$0.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$0.79)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VAU is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VAU?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

VAU key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA14.6x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does VAU's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for VAU vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.7x
EMR Emerald Resources
7.5x31.1%AU$2.8b
CMM Capricorn Metals
6.7x19.7%AU$2.4b
OBM Ora Banda Mining
8.1x27.9%AU$1.7b
GOR Gold Road Resources
4.6x13.4%AU$2.1b
VAU Vault Minerals
4.3x12.6%AU$2.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: VAU is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.3x) compared to the peer average (6.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VAU's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.8%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.8%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: VAU is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.3x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (63.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VAU's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VAU PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio4.3x
Fair PS Ratio1.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: VAU is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VAU forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$0.40
AU$0.46
+15.3%
17.6%AU$0.54AU$0.30n/a7
Oct ’25AU$0.34
AU$0.43
+25.7%
16.9%AU$0.54AU$0.30n/a7
Sep ’25AU$0.34
AU$0.42
+23.9%
16.9%AU$0.50AU$0.30n/a6
Aug ’25AU$0.37
AU$0.47
+26.2%
20.6%AU$0.58AU$0.30n/a6
Jul ’25AU$0.37
AU$0.49
+30.5%
19.9%AU$0.55AU$0.30n/a5
Jun ’25AU$0.45
AU$0.43
-2.2%
18.2%AU$0.50AU$0.30n/a4
May ’25AU$0.42
AU$0.43
+4.2%
18.2%AU$0.50AU$0.30n/a4
Apr ’25AU$0.38
AU$0.37
-1.3%
11.1%AU$0.40AU$0.30n/a4
Mar ’25AU$0.32
AU$0.35
+10.1%
10.8%AU$0.40AU$0.30n/a4
Feb ’25AU$0.33
AU$0.35
+7.6%
10.3%AU$0.40AU$0.30n/a4
Jan ’25AU$0.32
AU$0.34
+6.3%
8.0%AU$0.37AU$0.30n/a4
Dec ’24AU$0.35
AU$0.34
-4.3%
8.0%AU$0.37AU$0.30n/a4
Nov ’24AU$0.31
AU$0.33
+6.5%
8.9%AU$0.37AU$0.30n/a3
Oct ’24AU$0.26
AU$0.31
+19.4%
24.1%AU$0.42AU$0.26AU$0.343
Sep ’24AU$0.24
AU$0.31
+30.6%
24.1%AU$0.42AU$0.26AU$0.343
Aug ’24AU$0.19
AU$0.29
+56.4%
30.5%AU$0.42AU$0.23AU$0.373
Jul ’24AU$0.19
AU$0.28
+49.1%
38.9%AU$0.42AU$0.15AU$0.373
Jun ’24AU$0.15
AU$0.28
+88.9%
38.9%AU$0.42AU$0.15AU$0.453
May ’24AU$0.16
AU$0.28
+77.1%
38.9%AU$0.42AU$0.15AU$0.423
Apr ’24AU$0.15
AU$0.28
+86.7%
39.4%AU$0.42AU$0.15AU$0.383
Mar ’24AU$0.13
AU$0.28
+124.0%
39.4%AU$0.42AU$0.15AU$0.323
Feb ’24AU$0.20
AU$0.35
+76.7%
17.6%AU$0.42AU$0.27AU$0.333
Jan ’24AU$0.21
AU$0.36
+69.8%
12.6%AU$0.42AU$0.32AU$0.323
Dec ’23AU$0.17
AU$0.38
+114.3%
12.0%AU$0.42AU$0.33AU$0.352
Nov ’23AU$0.16
AU$0.38
+134.4%
12.0%AU$0.42AU$0.33AU$0.312
Oct ’23AU$0.20
AU$0.39
+101.7%
4.8%AU$0.42AU$0.38AU$0.263

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y