Vault Minerals Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Vault Minerals is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 21.5% and 17.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 11.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 8.3% in 3 years.

Key information

21.5%

Earnings growth rate

11.4%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth	9.2%
Revenue growth rate	17.7%
Future return on equity	8.3%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	22 Sep 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

CHIA:RED - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	1,443	177	381	502	6
6/30/2026	1,434	175	322	511	6
6/30/2025	1,330	151	205	486	6
6/30/2024	596	50	87	245	5
12/31/2023	546	49	97	113	N/A
9/30/2023	485	20	57	80	N/A
6/30/2023	423	-9	16	47	N/A
12/31/2022	245	-51	-11	29	N/A
9/30/2022	205	-50	-56	13	N/A
6/30/2022	165	-49	-101	-2	N/A
12/31/2021	156	-36	-169	-6	N/A
9/30/2021	165	-22	-131	4	N/A
6/30/2021	173	-9	-93	15	N/A
12/31/2020	193	3	-11	36	N/A
9/30/2020	197	7	2	44	N/A
6/30/2020	200	11	15	52	N/A
3/31/2020	194	3	23	53	N/A
12/31/2019	188	1	32	54	N/A
9/30/2019	171	-1	20	39	N/A
6/30/2019	154	-3	8	23	N/A
3/31/2019	132	-4	4	18	N/A
12/31/2018	110	-6	1	13	N/A
9/30/2018	94	-9	4	16	N/A
6/30/2018	77	-12	8	19	N/A
3/31/2018	57	-43	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2017	50	-39	4	15	N/A
9/30/2017	60	-119	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2017	69	-108	N/A	2	N/A
3/31/2017	94	-67	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2016	107	-60	N/A	27	N/A
9/30/2016	101	26	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2016	97	21	N/A	54	N/A
3/31/2016	88	-39	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2015	75	-42	N/A	31	N/A
9/30/2015	51	-51	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2015	28	-59	N/A	4	N/A
3/31/2015	12	2	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2014	0	-3	N/A	0	N/A
9/30/2014	0	-6	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2014	0	-7	N/A	-5	N/A
3/31/2014	7	-13	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2013	17	-10	N/A	-3	N/A
9/30/2013	23	-11	N/A	N/A	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: RED's forecast earnings growth (21.5% per year) is above the savings rate (2.4%).

Earnings vs Market: RED's earnings (21.5% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (12.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: RED's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: RED's revenue (17.7% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (5.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: RED's revenue (17.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: RED's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (8.3%).

Vault Minerals Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Red 5 Limited Provides Production Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2024

Red 5 Limited Provides Production Guidance for the Year 2024

Red 5 Limited Provides Production Guidance for Second Half of Fiscal Year 2023

Red 5 Limited Provides Production Guidance for the Six Months from 1 January 2023 to 30 June 2023

Red 5 Limited Provides Gold Production Guidance for the Six Months from 1 January 2023 to 30 June 2023

Red 5 Limited Provides Production and Sales Guidance for the Year 2022

Recent updates

Red 5 Limited Announces Resignation of Lisa Wynne as Company Secretary

MD & CEO recently sold AU$2.3m worth of stock

Red 5 Limited (ASX:RED) completed the acquisition of Silver Lake Resources Limited (ASX:SLR) in a merger of equals transaction

Less than half of directors are independent

New major risk - Shareholder dilution

Red 5 Limited Announces Executive Changes

Red 5 Limited to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Apr 24, 2024

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.008 (vs AU$0.011 loss in 1H 2023)

Red 5 Limited (ASX:RED) entered into a binding Scheme Implementation Deed to acquire Silver Lake Resources Limited (ASX:SLR) in a merger of equals transaction for AUD 1.1 billion.

Red 5 Limited (ASX:RED) entered into a binding Scheme Implementation Deed to acquire Silver Lake Resources Limited (ASX:SLR) in a merger of equals transaction for AUD 1.1 billion.

Red 5 Limited Provides Production Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2024

Red 5 Limited Provides Production Guidance for the Year 2024

Red 5 Limited to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Oct 18, 2023

Silver Lake Resources Limited (ASX:SLR) acquired 11% stake in Red 5 Limited (ASX:RED).

Red 5 Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 06, 2023

Red 5 Limited Announces Board Retirements, Effective 6 November 2023

Red 5 Limited Announces CFO Changes

Full year 2023 earnings released: AU$0.003 loss per share (vs AU$0.021 loss in FY 2022)

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Red 5 Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Aug 29, 2023

Red 5 Limited Announces Company Secretary Changes

Less than half of directors are independent

Red 5 Limited Appoints Peter Johnston as Non-Executive Director

Red 5 Limited to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Jul 27, 2023

Red 5 Limited Provides Production Guidance for Second Half of Fiscal Year 2023

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$67k worth of stock

First half 2023 earnings released: AU$0.011 loss per share (vs AU$0.011 loss in 1H 2022)

Red 5 Limited Provides an Operational Update At the King of the Hills (KOTH) Gold Mine, Located in the Eastern Goldfields Region of Western Australia

Red 5 Limited Announces Positive Exploration Drilling Results At Yandal South

Red 5 Limited Announces Outstanding Drill Results from King of the Hills

Red 5 Limited Provides Production Guidance for the Six Months from 1 January 2023 to 30 June 2023

Red 5 Limited Announces High Grade Drilling Results At Darlot Mine

Red 5 Limited Provides Gold Production Guidance for the Six Months from 1 January 2023 to 30 June 2023

Red 5 Limited Announces the Resignation of Fiona Harris, Non-Executive Director

Red 5 Limited has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD 60 million.

Red 5 Limited Provides the Update for its King of the Hills (Koth) Gold Mine

Red 5 Limited Elects Fiona Harris as Director

Red 5 Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 25, 2022

Red 5 Limited Updates Ore Reserve and Mineral Resource Statement for King of Hills and Darlot Gold Mining Operations in Eastern Goldfields Region of Western Australia

Full year 2022 earnings released: AU$0.021 loss per share (vs AU$0.004 loss in FY 2021)

Red 5 Limited Provides Production and Sales Guidance for the Year 2022

Red 5 Limited Announces Executive Changes

Red 5 Limited Announces the Appointment of Fiona Harris Am as Non-Executive Director

Red 5 Limited Completes the First Gold Pour At the 100%-Owned 2.4Moz, 16-Year Life-Of-Mine King of the Hills Gold Project in Western Australia

Red 5 Limited Advises That First Ore Has Commenced Being Processed Through the 4.7Mtpa Processing Plant At King of the Hills (Koth) Gold Project in Western Australia

Red 5 Limited to Report Q3, 2022 Results on Apr 28, 2022

Red 5 Limited Announces Underground Mining Recommences While Process Plant Commissioning Advances At King of the Hills

First half 2022 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectations

Red 5 Limited Announces High Grade Results At Darlot Underground Mine

Red 5 Limited Announces Commissioning of Crushing Circuit At King of the Hills

Red 5 Limited Announces Mining Commences on Schedule At King of the Hills

TVI Resource Development Philippines Inc. completed the acquisition of Greenstone Resources Corporation from Red 5 Limited (ASX:RED) and others.

Full year 2021 earnings released: AU$0.004 loss per share (vs AU$0.003 profit in FY 2020)

Red 5 Limited Reports Updated Bulk Mining Mineral Resource Estimate for Its 2.4Moz, 16-Year Life-Of-Mine King of the Hills Gold Project

Red 5 Limited Provides Update on King of the Hills Project

Red 5 Limited Revises Production Guidance for the Darlot Gold Mine for Year 2021

Red 5 Limited Updates King of the Hills Project

Red 5 Limited Signs Letter of Intent with Macmahon Contractors Pty Ltd for the Award of the Mining Contract for Its 2.4Moz, 16-Year Life-Of-Mine King of the Hills Gold Project in Western Australia

Red 5 Limited Announces Further Key Milestones Achieved at King of the Hills

First half 2021 earnings released: AU$0.001 loss per share (vs AU$0.007 profit in 1H 2020)

Red 5 Limited to Report Q2, 2021 Results on Jan 28, 2021

New 90-day low: AU$0.23

Red 5 Limited Announces King of the Hills Project Update

Farm-In Joint Venture Agreement Expands Red 5 Footprint in Close Proximity to Darlot Gold Mine

Red 5 Limited Appoints Andrea Sutton as an Independent Non-Executive Director of the Company

New 90-day low: AU$0.27

Red 5 Limited Announces an Updated Mineral Resource and Maiden Ore Reserve Estimate for the Great Western Gold Deposit

Red 5 Limited Announces KOTH Final Feasibility Study Update

New 90-day high - AU$0.34