Orica Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Orica is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 6.6% and 5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 5.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 11.9% in 3 years.

Key information

6.6%

Earnings growth rate

5.8%

EPS growth rate

Chemicals earnings growth	33.9%
Revenue growth rate	5.0%
Future return on equity	11.9%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	25 Sep 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

CHIA:ORI - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
9/30/2026	8,645	583	750	1,048	12
9/30/2025	8,472	513	620	913	13
9/30/2024	7,894	550	350	709	13
3/31/2024	7,604	511	585	1,088	N/A
12/31/2023	7,775	403	522	993	N/A
9/30/2023	7,945	296	460	899	N/A
6/30/2023	7,997	282	314	710	N/A
3/31/2023	8,049	267	169	521	N/A
12/31/2022	7,573	206	91	441	N/A
9/30/2022	7,096	145	13	362	N/A
3/31/2022	5,870	-262	-19	323	N/A
12/31/2021	5,556	-225	138	471	N/A
9/30/2021	5,242	-188	296	619	N/A
3/31/2021	4,690	-21	-70	176	N/A
12/31/2020	4,926	25	-158	161	N/A
9/30/2020	5,161	71	-247	145	N/A
6/30/2020	5,789	273	-44	474	N/A
3/31/2020	5,948	377	158	671	N/A
12/31/2019	5,922	311	240	708	N/A
9/30/2019	5,896	245	322	746	N/A
6/30/2019	5,794	230	355	758	N/A
3/31/2019	5,691	214	387	770	N/A
12/31/2018	5,547	83	340	692	N/A
9/30/2018	5,402	-48	293	615	N/A
6/30/2018	5,282	-43	157	478	N/A
3/31/2018	5,162	-38	20	340	N/A
12/31/2017	5,116	174	N/A	403	N/A
9/30/2017	5,070	386	N/A	466	N/A
6/30/2017	5,035	388	N/A	633	N/A
3/31/2017	4,999	389	N/A	800	N/A
12/31/2016	5,055	366	N/A	789	N/A
9/30/2016	5,111	343	N/A	778	N/A
3/31/2016	5,431	-1,336	N/A	593	N/A
12/31/2015	5,552	-1,306	N/A	666	N/A
9/30/2015	5,673	-1,275	N/A	739	N/A
3/31/2015	5,729	556	N/A	884	N/A
12/31/2014	5,725	559	N/A	900	N/A
9/30/2014	5,722	563	N/A	917	N/A
6/30/2014	6,042	555	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2014	6,362	548	N/A	1,092	N/A
12/31/2013	6,623	570	N/A	1,077	N/A
9/30/2013	6,885	593	N/A	1,062	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ORI's forecast earnings growth (6.6% per year) is above the savings rate (2.4%).

Earnings vs Market: ORI's earnings (6.6% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (12.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: ORI's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: ORI's revenue (5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (5.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ORI's revenue (5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ORI's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (11.9%).

Orica Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Orica Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2024

Orica Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2023

Recent updates

First half dividend increased to AU$0.19

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.73 (vs AU$0.27 in 1H 2023)

Orica Limited Announces Retirement of Gene Tilbrook from the Board of Directors

New minor risk - Shareholder dilution

Orica Limited has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD 400.000012 million.

Orica Limited (ASX:ORI) entered into a binding agreement to acquire Cyanco Corporation from Cerberus Capital Management, L.P for the enterprise value of approximately $640 million.

Orica Limited (ASX:ORI) entered into a binding agreement to acquire Cyanco Corporation from Cerberus Capital Management, L.P for the enterprise value of approximately $640 million.

Orica Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on May 09, 2024

Orica Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2024

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.65 (vs AU$0.35 in FY 2022)

CF Industries Files a Separate Lawsuit in the United States Against Orica

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.18 per share at 2.2% yield

Orica Limited Announces Distribution for the Six Months Ended March 31, 2023, Payable on July 3, 2023

First half 2023 earnings released

Orica Limited Announces Vanessa Guthrie AO as Independent, Non-Executive, Effective 1 February 2023

Orica Limited, Annual General Meeting, Feb 13, 2023

Orica Announces the Appointment of Mark Garrett as Independent, Non-Executive Director, to the Board

Orica Limited Announces Board Retirements

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.35 (vs AU$0.46 loss in FY 2021)

Orica Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2023

Orica Announces Change of Chief Financial Officer Effective October 11, 2022

Orica Limited (ASX:ORI) entered into an agreement to acquire Axis Mining Technology for AUD 350 million.

Orica Limited Announces Distribution for the Period of Six Months Ended 31 March 2022, Payable on July 08, 2022

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.13 per share

First half 2022 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.002 (vs AU$0.18 in 1H 2021)

Orica Limited Announces Distribution for the Period of Six Months Ended 31 March 2022, Payable on July 08, 2022

Orica Limited Appoints Gordon Naylor as Independent, Non-Executive Director, Effective 1 April 2022

Now 20% undervalued

AURELIUS Equity Opportunities SE & Co. KGaA (XTRA:AR4) agreed to acquire Minova business of Orica Limited (ASX:ORI) for AUD 180 million.

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$250k worth of stock

Full year 2021 earnings released

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$137k worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.075 per share

First half 2021 earnings released: EPS AU$0.19 (vs AU$0.43 in 1H 2020)

Orica Declares Interim Dividend for the Six Ended March 31, 2021, Payable on 9 July 2021

MD, CEO & Executive Director Alberto Zuleta has left the company

New 90-day low: AU$12.56

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Orica Limited Announces Executive Changes

Orica Limited, Annual General Meeting, Dec 16, 2021

MD, CEO & Executive Director recently bought AU$130k worth of stock

New 90-day low: AU$14.92

Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$61k worth of stock

Orica Limited to Report First Half, 2021 Results on May 13, 2021

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS AU$0.42

Revenue misses expectations

New 90-day low: AU$15.24

New 90-day low: AU$15.74

New 90-day high - AU$17.97

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

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