NuCoal Resources Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of NCR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

NCR (A$0.01) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (A$0.07)

Is NCR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Book vs Peers
Price-To-Book vs Industry
Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NCR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NCR (A$0.01) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$0.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NCR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NCR?

Key metric: As NCR barely has revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for NCR. This is calculated by dividing NCR's market cap by their current book value.
What is NCR's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio	1.2x
Book	AU$3.19m
Market Cap	AU$3.84m

NCR key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	19.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	n/a
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does NCR's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for NCR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PB	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	0.6x
JNO Juno Minerals	0.2x	n/a	AU$4.5m
HIO Hawsons Iron	0.3x	n/a	AU$20.3m
MGT Magnetite Mines	0.4x	n/a	AU$16.1m
ACS Accent Resources	1.6x	n/a	AU$2.8m
NCR NuCoal Resources	1.2x	n/a	AU$3.8m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: NCR is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (1.2x) compared to the peer average (3.6x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does NCR's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

16 Companies	Price / Book	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
HAS Hastings Technology Metals	0.2x	12.6%	US$37.07m
JRV Jervois Global	0.1x	n/a	US$19.35m
ADN Andromeda Metals	0.2x	25.5%	US$17.84m
LOM Lucapa Diamond	0.1x	n/a	US$7.93m

16 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: NCR is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (1.2x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (1.3x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NCR's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NCR PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio	1.2x
Fair PB Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate NCR's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

Discover undervalued companies

Capral

AU$171.2m

Manufactures, markets, and distributes fabricated and semi-fabricated aluminum related products in Australia.

CAA

AU$9.99

10.0%

14.8%

Stanmore Resources

AU$3.0b

Engages in the exploration, development, production, and sale of metallurgical coal in Australia.

SMR

AU$3.31

6.1%

-19.1%

Aurelia Metals

AU$287.6m

Engages in the exploration and production of mineral properties in Australia.

AMI

AU$0.17

61.9%