Newcrest Mining Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Newcrest Mining is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 12.2% and 5.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 12.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.5% in 3 years.

Key information

12.2%

Earnings growth rate

12.1%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth	10.7%
Revenue growth rate	5.2%
Future return on equity	9.5%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	31 Oct 2023

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

CHIA:NCM - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2026	5,537	1,368	1,685	2,466	7
6/30/2025	5,084	1,080	814	2,018	7
6/30/2024	4,688	782	141	1,627	7
6/30/2023	4,508	778	288	1,605	N/A
3/31/2023	4,561	823	280	1,646	N/A
12/31/2022	4,613	867	271	1,686	N/A
9/30/2022	4,410	870	231	1,683	N/A
6/30/2022	4,207	872	190	1,680	N/A
3/31/2022	4,163	891	270	1,707	N/A
12/31/2021	4,119	909	349	1,733	N/A
9/30/2021	4,348	1,037	714	2,018	N/A
6/30/2021	4,576	1,164	1,079	2,302	N/A
3/31/2021	4,440	1,064	1,030	2,159	N/A
12/31/2020	4,304	964	980	2,015	N/A
9/30/2020	4,113	806	824	1,743	N/A
6/30/2020	3,922	647	667	1,471	N/A
3/31/2020	3,862	604	736	1,471	N/A
12/31/2019	3,802	560	805	1,471	N/A
9/30/2019	3,772	561	842	1,479	N/A
6/30/2019	3,742	561	878	1,487	N/A
3/31/2019	3,659	451	869	1,466	N/A
12/31/2018	3,575	341	860	1,445	N/A
9/30/2018	3,569	272	841	1,440	N/A
6/30/2018	3,562	202	821	1,434	N/A
3/31/2018	3,475	211	740	1,377	N/A
12/31/2017	3,387	219	659	1,319	N/A
9/30/2017	3,432	264	743	1,393	N/A
6/30/2017	3,477	308	827	1,467	N/A
3/31/2017	3,517	373	N/A	1,471	N/A
12/31/2016	3,556	438	N/A	1,475	N/A
9/30/2016	3,426	385	N/A	1,358	N/A
6/30/2016	3,295	332	N/A	1,241	N/A
3/31/2016	3,332	305	N/A	1,204	N/A
12/31/2015	3,369	277	N/A	1,166	N/A
9/30/2015	3,487	327	N/A	1,223	N/A
6/30/2015	3,604	376	N/A	1,280	N/A
3/31/2015	3,464	-584	N/A	1,189	N/A
12/31/2014	3,437	-1,670	N/A	1,143	N/A
9/30/2014	3,543	-1,870	N/A	1,048	N/A
6/30/2014	3,810	-2,095	N/A	978	N/A
3/31/2014	3,721	-3,842	N/A	920	N/A
12/31/2013	3,565	-5,425	N/A	847	N/A
9/30/2013	3,627	-5,538	N/A	979	N/A
6/30/2013	3,456	-5,294	N/A	1,050	N/A
3/31/2013	3,983	-2,603	N/A	1,193	N/A
12/31/2012	4,027	811	N/A	1,189	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: NCM's forecast earnings growth (12.2% per year) is above the savings rate (2.1%).

Earnings vs Market: NCM's earnings (12.2% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (8.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: NCM's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: NCM's revenue (5.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: NCM's revenue (5.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: NCM's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.5%).

Newcrest Mining Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Newcrest Mining Limited Announces the Brucejack Mine Resumes Mining and Processing Operations

Recent updates

Newcrest Mining Limited(ASX:NCM) dropped from FTSE All-World Index (USD)

Newmont Corporation (NYSE:NEM) completed the acquisition of Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX:NCM) from State Street Corporation (NYSE:STT), BlackRock, Inc. (NYSE:BLK), The Vanguard Group, Inc., Allan Gray Australia Pty Ltd. and others.

Newmont Corporation (NYSE:NEM) completed the acquisition of Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX:NCM) from State Street Corporation (NYSE:STT), BlackRock, Inc. (NYSE:BLK), The Vanguard Group, Inc., Allan Gray Australia Pty Ltd. and others.

Newmont Corporation (NYSE:NEM) completed the acquisition of Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX:NCM) from State Street Corporation (NYSE:STT), BlackRock, Inc. (NYSE:BLK), The Vanguard Group, Inc., Allan Gray Australia Pty Ltd. and others.

Newcrest Mining Limited Announces Fully Franked Special Dividend, Payable on 27 October 2023

Newcrest Mining Limited Determines Final Fully Franked Dividend, Payable 18 September 2023

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.87 (vs US$1.03 in FY 2022)

Headwater Gold Inc. and Newcrest Mining Limited Commences Drill Program

Newcrest Mining Limited Announces Interim Dividend for the Six Months Period Ended December 31, 2022, Payable on March 30, 2023

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.33 (vs US$0.36 in 1H 2022)

Newmont Corporation (NYSE:NEM) made an offer to acquire Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX:NCM) for AUD 23.4 billion.

Newcrest Mining Limited Provides Update on Exploration Portfolio

Newcrest Mining Limited Announces Executive Changes

Newcrest Mining Limited to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Oct 26, 2023

Newcrest Mining Limited Announces the Brucejack Mine Resumes Mining and Processing Operations

Newcrest Mining Limited Announces Cadia PC1-2 Feasibility Study Demonstrates Strong Financial Returns

Newcrest Mining Limited Announces Telfer Mine Life Extended West Dome Stage 8 Approval

MD, CEO & Director recently bought AU$1.3m worth of stock

Newcrest Mining Limited to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Apr 27, 2023

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$97k worth of stock

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$1.03 (vs US$1.43 in FY 2021)

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

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