Genesis Minerals Valuation

Is GMD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score


Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GMD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GMD (A$1.74) is trading above our estimate of fair value (A$0.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GMD is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GMD?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

GMD key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue7.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA104.1x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does GMD's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for GMD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.6x
BGL Bellevue Gold
EMR Emerald Resources
CMM Capricorn Metals
FFX Firefinch
GMD Genesis Minerals

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: GMD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.8x) compared to the peer average (18.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GMD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.7%
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.7%
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: GMD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.8x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (76.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GMD's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GMD PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio7.8x
Fair PS Ratio1.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: GMD is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GMD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Jun ’25AU$1.86
May ’25AU$1.68
Apr ’25AU$1.85
Mar ’25AU$1.58
Feb ’25AU$1.60
Jan ’25AU$1.79
Dec ’24AU$1.78
Nov ’24AU$1.43
Oct ’24AU$1.38

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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