Elevra Lithium Limited

CHIA:ELV Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$746.2m

Elevra Lithium Valuation

Is ELV undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ELV when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate ELV's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate ELV's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ELV?

Key metric: As ELV is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for ELV. This is calculated by dividing ELV's market cap by their current revenue.
What is ELV's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio3.3x
SalesAU$223.37m
Market CapAU$746.16m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ELV's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ELV vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.3x
DVP Develop Global
6.4x32.28%AU$1.5b
EQR EQ Resources
2.3xn/aAU$150.1m
QPM QPM Energy
0.9x9.02%AU$103.4m
ARL Ardea Resources
35.5xn/aAU$130.5m
ELV Elevra Lithium
3.3x19.18%AU$746.2m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ELV is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.3x) compared to the peer average (11.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does ELV's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

106 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.118.1x6.8%
ELV Elevra Lithium
 3.3x19.18%US$492.06m
BHP BHP Group
2.8x-0.41%US$144.36b
FMG Fortescue
2.5x-1.74%US$39.46b
ELV 3.3xIndustry Avg. 118.1xNo. of Companies105PS020406080100+
106 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.118.1x13.7%
ELV Elevra Lithium
 3.3x101.17%US$492.06m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ELV is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.3x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (118.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ELV's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ELV PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio3.3x
Fair PS Ratio19.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ELV is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (19.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ELV forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$4.43
AU$7.25
+63.66%
24.14%AU$9.00AU$5.50n/a2
Oct ’26AU$3.58
AU$7.25
+102.51%
24.14%AU$9.00AU$5.50n/a2
May ’26AU$2.85
AU$6.38
+123.68%
5.88%AU$6.75AU$6.00n/a2
Apr ’26AU$2.62
AU$6.38
+142.86%
5.88%AU$6.75AU$6.00n/a2
Dec ’25AU$4.72
AU$12.00
+153.97%
50.00%AU$18.00AU$6.00n/a2
Nov ’25AU$4.95
AU$9.25
+86.87%
67.62%AU$18.00AU$3.75n/a3
Oct ’25AU$5.02
AU$11.25
+123.88%
72.01%AU$22.50AU$3.75AU$3.583
Sep ’25AU$4.05
AU$11.50
+183.95%
68.47%AU$22.50AU$4.50AU$3.673
Aug ’25AU$4.57
AU$12.00
+162.30%
62.08%AU$22.50AU$6.00AU$3.153
Jul ’25AU$5.10
AU$12.50
+145.10%
57.41%AU$22.50AU$6.00AU$2.323
Jun ’25AU$6.45
AU$12.50
+93.80%
57.41%AU$22.50AU$6.00AU$2.473
May ’25AU$4.87
AU$12.50
+156.41%
57.41%AU$22.50AU$6.00AU$2.853
Apr ’25AU$5.77
AU$12.50
+116.45%
57.41%AU$22.50AU$6.00AU$2.623
Mar ’25AU$6.75
AU$12.50
+85.19%
57.41%AU$22.50AU$6.00AU$3.073
Feb ’25AU$5.77
AU$15.00
+159.74%
71.18%AU$30.00AU$6.00AU$3.453
Jan ’25AU$10.65
AU$25.50
+139.44%
33.62%AU$33.00AU$13.50AU$4.053
Dec ’24AU$9.37
AU$29.50
+214.67%
10.45%AU$33.00AU$25.50AU$4.723
Nov ’24AU$10.72
AU$29.50
+175.06%
10.45%AU$33.00AU$25.50AU$4.953
Oct ’24AU$13.80
AU$34.50
+150.00%
12.30%AU$37.50AU$28.50AU$5.023
AU$9.07
Fair Value
55.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/10/09 23:05
End of Day Share Price 2025/10/09 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Elevra Lithium Limited is covered by 2 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Reg SpencerCanaccord Genuity
Austin YunMacquarie Research