DDH1 Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of DDH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

DDH (A$0.85) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (A$1.17)

Is DDH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DDH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DDH (A$0.85) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$1.17)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DDH is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DDH?

Key metric: As DDH is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DDH. This is calculated by dividing DDH's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DDH's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	7.8x
Earnings	AU$42.52m
Market Cap	AU$331.81m

DDH key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	3.4x
PEG Ratio	0.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DDH's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DDH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	16.6x
VYS Vysarn	26x	n/a	AU$207.0m
MLX Metals X	21.4x	n/a	AU$372.1m
JMS Jupiter Mines	7.3x	n/a	AU$284.2m
GNG GR Engineering Services	11.6x	n/a	AU$362.4m
DDH DDH1	7.8x	9.6%	AU$331.8m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DDH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.8x) compared to the peer average (7.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DDH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

9 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
KCN Kingsgate Consolidated	1.9x	-13.3%	US$243.72m
RHI Red Hill Minerals	1.8x	n/a	US$181.28m
GRR Grange Resources	2.6x	n/a	US$176.74m
PTN Patronus Resources	2.4x	n/a	US$68.10m

9 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DDH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.8x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (11x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DDH's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DDH PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	7.8x
Fair PE Ratio	12.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DDH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DDH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	n/a	AU$0.97 0%	11.3%	AU$1.08	AU$0.86	n/a	2
Nov ’25	n/a	AU$0.97 0%	11.3%	AU$1.08	AU$0.86	n/a	2
Oct ’25	n/a	AU$0.97 0%	11.3%	AU$1.08	AU$0.86	n/a	2
Sep ’25	n/a	AU$0.97 0%	11.3%	AU$1.08	AU$0.86	n/a	2
Aug ’25	n/a	AU$0.97 0%	11.3%	AU$1.08	AU$0.86	n/a	2
Jul ’25	n/a	AU$0.97 0%	11.3%	AU$1.08	AU$0.86	n/a	2
Jun ’25	n/a	AU$0.97 0%	11.3%	AU$1.08	AU$0.86	n/a	2
May ’25	n/a	AU$0.97 0%	11.3%	AU$1.08	AU$0.86	n/a	2
Apr ’25	n/a	AU$0.97 0%	11.3%	AU$1.08	AU$0.86	n/a	2
Mar ’25	n/a	AU$0.97 0%	11.3%	AU$1.08	AU$0.86	n/a	2
Feb ’25	n/a	AU$0.97 0%	11.3%	AU$1.08	AU$0.86	n/a	2
Jan ’25	n/a	AU$0.97 0%	11.3%	AU$1.08	AU$0.86	n/a	2
Dec ’24	n/a	AU$0.97 0%	11.3%	AU$1.08	AU$0.86	n/a	2
Nov ’24	n/a	AU$0.97 0%	11.3%	AU$1.08	AU$0.86	n/a	2
Oct ’24	AU$0.84	AU$0.95 +12.0%	10.1%	AU$1.08	AU$0.86	n/a	3
Sep ’24	AU$0.84	AU$0.95 +12.7%	10.1%	AU$1.08	AU$0.86	n/a	3
Aug ’24	AU$0.95	AU$1.01 +5.8%	5.7%	AU$1.08	AU$0.94	n/a	3
Jul ’24	AU$0.83	AU$1.01 +21.0%	5.7%	AU$1.08	AU$0.94	n/a	3
Jun ’24	AU$0.80	AU$1.20 +50.3%	7.6%	AU$1.30	AU$1.05	n/a	4
May ’24	AU$0.83	AU$1.25 +49.1%	9.3%	AU$1.35	AU$1.05	n/a	4
Apr ’24	AU$0.91	AU$1.25 +36.8%	9.3%	AU$1.35	AU$1.05	n/a	4
Mar ’24	AU$0.93	AU$1.26 +34.9%	9.5%	AU$1.35	AU$1.05	n/a	4
Feb ’24	AU$0.96	AU$1.33 +38.1%	10.9%	AU$1.47	AU$1.10	n/a	4
Jan ’24	AU$0.89	AU$1.33 +50.6%	10.9%	AU$1.47	AU$1.10	n/a	4
Dec ’23	AU$0.91	AU$1.33 +46.4%	10.9%	AU$1.47	AU$1.10	n/a	4
Nov ’23	AU$0.85	AU$1.33 +55.8%	10.9%	AU$1.47	AU$1.10	n/a	4

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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