BCI Minerals Limited

CHIA:BCI Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$808.0m

BCI Minerals Valuation

Is BCI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BCI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate BCI's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate BCI's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BCI?

Key metric: As BCI is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for BCI. This is calculated by dividing BCI's market cap by their current book value.
What is BCI's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio1x
BookAU$805.22m
Market CapAU$807.99m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does BCI's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for BCI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.3x
VSL Vulcan Steel
6.2x23.0%AU$955.4m
CRN Coronado Global Resources
0.9x74.7%AU$1.6b
GRR Grange Resources
0.3xn/aAU$272.0m
RHK Red Hawk Mining
1.8xn/aAU$161.8m
BCI BCI Minerals
1x24.4%AU$808.0m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: BCI is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (1x) compared to the peer average (2.3x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does BCI's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

16 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HAS Hastings Technology Metals
0.2x12.6%US$32.32m
JRV Jervois Global
0.1xn/aUS$19.32m
ADN Andromeda Metals
0.2x25.5%US$15.59m
CTO Citigold
0.1xn/aUS$7.80m
BCI 1.0xIndustry Avg. 1.1xNo. of Companies92PB00.81.62.43.24+
16 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: BCI is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (1x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (1.1x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BCI's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BCI PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio1x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate BCI's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BCI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$0.28
AU$0.47
+64.6%
5.4%AU$0.49AU$0.44n/a2
Nov ’25AU$0.32
AU$0.47
+45.3%
5.4%AU$0.49AU$0.44n/a2
Oct ’25AU$0.30
AU$0.47
+55.0%
5.4%AU$0.49AU$0.44n/a2
Sep ’25AU$0.25
AU$0.47
+86.0%
5.4%AU$0.49AU$0.44n/a2
Aug ’25AU$0.25
AU$0.47
+87.9%
5.4%AU$0.49AU$0.44n/a2
Jul ’25AU$0.23
AU$0.47
+97.9%
5.4%AU$0.49AU$0.44n/a2
Apr ’25AU$0.23
AU$0.41
+74.5%
7.3%AU$0.44AU$0.38n/a2
Mar ’25AU$0.24
AU$0.41
+67.3%
7.3%AU$0.44AU$0.38n/a2
Feb ’25AU$0.28
AU$0.41
+49.1%
7.3%AU$0.44AU$0.38n/a2
Jan ’25AU$0.28
AU$0.41
+43.9%
7.3%AU$0.44AU$0.38n/a2
Dec ’24AU$0.26
AU$0.41
+56.2%
7.3%AU$0.44AU$0.38n/a2
Nov ’24AU$0.28
AU$0.41
+49.1%
7.3%AU$0.44AU$0.38AU$0.322
Oct ’24AU$0.28
AU$0.41
+49.1%
7.3%AU$0.44AU$0.38AU$0.302
Sep ’24AU$0.28
AU$0.35
+25.0%
8.6%AU$0.38AU$0.32AU$0.252
Aug ’24AU$0.27
AU$0.35
+32.1%
8.6%AU$0.38AU$0.32AU$0.252
Jul ’24AU$0.23
AU$0.34
+46.8%
7.2%AU$0.37AU$0.32AU$0.232
Jun ’24AU$0.22
AU$0.41
+84.1%
21.0%AU$0.49AU$0.32AU$0.232
May ’24AU$0.24
AU$0.41
+68.8%
21.0%AU$0.49AU$0.32AU$0.232
Apr ’24AU$0.23
AU$0.42
+78.7%
16.7%AU$0.49AU$0.35AU$0.232
Mar ’24AU$0.27
AU$0.42
+55.6%
16.7%AU$0.49AU$0.35AU$0.242
Feb ’24AU$0.29
AU$0.47
+63.8%
3.2%AU$0.49AU$0.46AU$0.282
Jan ’24AU$0.27
AU$0.47
+79.2%
3.2%AU$0.49AU$0.46AU$0.282
Dec ’23AU$0.25
AU$0.47
+91.9%
3.2%AU$0.49AU$0.46AU$0.262
Nov ’23AU$0.22
AU$0.47
+113.5%
3.2%AU$0.49AU$0.46AU$0.282

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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