Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Tigers Realm Coal Limited (ASX:TIG) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
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What Is Tigers Realm Coal's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2023 Tigers Realm Coal had AU$8.69m of debt, an increase on none, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of AU$3.12m, its net debt is less, at about AU$5.57m.
A Look At Tigers Realm Coal's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Tigers Realm Coal had liabilities of AU$44.2m due within a year, and liabilities of AU$19.9m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of AU$3.12m and AU$38.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by AU$22.2m.
Tigers Realm Coal has a market capitalization of AU$78.4m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Tigers Realm Coal has very little debt (net of cash), and boasts a debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.077 and EBIT of 37.3 times the interest expense. So relative to past earnings, the debt load seems trivial. Even more impressive was the fact that Tigers Realm Coal grew its EBIT by 110% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Tigers Realm Coal will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Tigers Realm Coal burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
Tigers Realm Coal's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But we must concede we find its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow has the opposite effect. All these things considered, it appears that Tigers Realm Coal can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Tigers Realm Coal you should be aware of, and 2 of them shouldn't be ignored.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:TIG
Tigers Realm Coal
Engages in the identification, exploration, development, mining, and sale of coal from deposits in the Far East of the Russian Federation.
Flawless balance sheet and slightly overvalued.