Syrah Resources Future Growth
Future criteria checks 5/6
Syrah Resources is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 77.4% and 31.1% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 75.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 16.1% in 3 years.
Key information
77.4%
Earnings growth rate
75.73%
EPS growth rate
| Metals and Mining earnings growth | 15.1% |
| Revenue growth rate | 31.1% |
| Future return on equity | 16.11% |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 06 Jul 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 15
SYR: Rights Issue Funding And Updated Outlook Should Support Future Upside
Analysts have maintained their A$0.18 fair value estimate for Syrah Resources while updating assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. They are using these refreshed inputs to refine their broader outlook on the stock.Narrative Update • Jun 01
SYR: Shares Will Rise As Rights Issue Supports Long Term Supply Deal
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Syrah Resources slightly to A$0.1825 from A$0.186, reflecting updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, a higher discount rate, and a higher expected future P/E multiple. What's in the News Syrah Resources completed a follow on equity offering of approximately A$105.315 million through a rights issue, with multiple tranches of ordinary shares offered at A$0.105 per share.
Narrative Update • May 11
SYR: New Offtake Deal And Equity Raise Will Underpin Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Syrah Resources from A$0.50 to A$0.27, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, margins and a lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Syrah Resources completed a follow on equity offering of approximately A$105.3 million through multiple ordinary share issues priced at A$0.105 per share.Narrative Update • Apr 27
SYR: Shares Will Rise As Equity Raise Supports Long Term Supply Deal
Analysts have trimmed their price expectations for Syrah Resources to reflect a lower fair value of A$0.19 per share. The shift is primarily linked to updated assumptions around profit margins and a revised future P/E of 3.60.Analysis Article • Apr 22
Things Look Grim For Syrah Resources Limited (ASX:SYR) After Today's Downgrade
The analysts covering Syrah Resources Limited ( ASX:SYR ) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by...Narrative Update • Apr 13
SYR: Shares Will Continue Rising As Equity Raise Supports Future Agreements
Analysts have cut their price target on Syrah Resources from around A$0.48 to about A$0.29, citing lower projected revenue growth, slimmer profit margins and a higher discount rate that also feeds through to a higher assumed future P/E multiple. What's in the News Syrah Resources filed a follow on equity offering of approximately A$108.3m in ordinary shares, structured as a rights offering, with multiple tranches of shares all priced at A$0.105 per share.
Narrative Update • Mar 30
SYR: Equity Raising And Higher Discount Rate Will Pressure Future Returns
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Syrah Resources from A$0.29 to A$0.10. This reflects updated assumptions that include a higher 11.93% discount rate, an 87.22% revenue growth outlook, a 24.46% profit margin and a future P/E of 2.88.Narrative Update • Mar 16
SYR: New Offtake Agreement Will Support Future Graphite Supply Upside
Analysts have trimmed Syrah Resources' fair value estimate from A$0.57 to A$0.50, citing updated assumptions that include a higher discount rate, a higher future P/E multiple, and revised views on revenue growth and profit margins. What's in the News NextSource Materials signed a binding agreement with Syrah Resources to supply natural graphite fines for NextSource's planned battery anode facility in Abu Dhabi, covering a minimum of about 34,000 tonnes and up to 68,000 tonnes over seven years (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Jan 22
SYR: Shares Will Continue Rising As Earnings Assumptions Remain Supportive
Analysts have lifted their price target on Syrah Resources to around A$0.48 per share, reflecting updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth of approximately 193%, and a profit margin of about 15%, along with a slightly lower forward P/E of roughly 7.9x. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate: Held steady at around A$0.48 per share, with no change in the underlying model output of A$0.47512.Narrative Update • Jan 07
SYR: Shares Will Continue Rising As Stable Assumptions Support Future Earnings
Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Syrah Resources at A$0.48, with only minor adjustments to assumptions, including a slightly lower discount rate, a marginally different revenue growth outlook, and a largely unchanged future P/E and profit margin profile. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Unchanged at A$0.48 per share, with the updated model still pointing to a fair value of about A$0.48.Narrative Update • Dec 24
SYR: Shares Will Continue Rising As Refined Risk Profile Supports Future Earnings
Analysts have modestly reaffirmed their outlook on Syrah Resources, nudging the price target to approximately $0.48 per share. This is underpinned by a slightly lower perceived risk profile reflected in a reduced discount rate, while growth and profitability assumptions remain broadly unchanged.Narrative Update • Dec 10
SYR: Shares Will Continue Rising On Strong Future Earnings Multiple Assumptions
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Syrah Resources to reflect a slightly higher assumed discount rate and a richer future earnings multiple, resulting in a revised valuation of approximately $0.48 per share, up from about $0.48 previously. Valuation Changes Fair Value: unchanged at approximately A$0.48 per share, indicating no material adjustment to the intrinsic valuation.Narrative Update • Nov 25
SYR: Shares Will Maintain Upward Momentum Following AUD 70 Million Equity Raise
Analysts have maintained their price target for Syrah Resources at $0.48 per share, citing consistent expectations for future revenue growth and profitability. Valuation Changes Fair Value remains unchanged at A$0.48 per share.Narrative Update • Nov 07
SYR: Shares Are Expected To Benefit From Recent AUD 70 Million Equity Raising
Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Syrah Resources from $0.47 to $0.48 per share. They cite marginal improvements in projected revenue growth, despite a more conservative profit outlook and a higher discount rate in recent forecasts.Analysis Article • Oct 30
Analysts Have Just Cut Their Syrah Resources Limited (ASX:SYR) Revenue Estimates By 20%
Today is shaping up negative for Syrah Resources Limited ( ASX:SYR ) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a...Narrative Update • Oct 24
Equity Funding Round And Expanded Share Base Will Stabilize Supply Chain Prospects
Analysts have maintained Syrah Resources' fair value estimate at $0.47 per share, citing a stable outlook and balanced assumptions despite minor updates to key financial metrics. What's in the News Syrah Resources Limited completed a follow-on equity offering valued at approximately AUD 70 million.Narrative Update • Oct 10
Balama Production And Vidalia Sales Will Support US Supply Chain
Analysts have raised their price target for Syrah Resources from $0.39 to $0.47 per share, citing improved revenue growth expectations even though the profit margin forecast is slightly lower. What's in the News Syrah Resources completed a follow-on equity offering totaling AUD 70.002 million.Narrative Update • Aug 07
Balama Production And Vidalia Sales Will Support US Supply Chain
The increase in Syrah Resources' net profit margin and the decline in its future P/E multiple signal improved profitability and valuation attractiveness, underpinning the significant analyst price target upgrade from A$0.33 to A$0.386. What's in the News Syrah Resources announced a follow-on equity offering totaling AUD 70 million through a rights offering and subsequent direct listing.New Narrative • May 08
Balama Production And Vidalia Sales Will Support US Supply Chain
Government policy changes favoring ex-China supply chains position Syrah for growth through increased production and sales from Balama and Vidalia.Analysis Article • May 01
Need To Know: The Consensus Just Cut Its Syrah Resources Limited (ASX:SYR) Estimates For 2024
The analysts covering Syrah Resources Limited ( ASX:SYR ) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by...Analysis Article • Feb 08
There Is A Reason Syrah Resources Limited's (ASX:SYR) Price Is Undemanding
You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.8x Syrah Resources Limited ( ASX:SYR ) is definitely a...Analysis Article • Oct 24
Syrah Resources Limited (ASX:SYR) Surges 50% Yet Its Low P/S Is No Reason For Excitement
Syrah Resources Limited ( ASX:SYR ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 50% in...Analysis Article • Oct 18
News Flash: 3 Analysts Think Syrah Resources Limited (ASX:SYR) Earnings Are Under Threat
Market forces rained on the parade of Syrah Resources Limited ( ASX:SYR ) shareholders today, when the analysts...Analysis Article • Jun 27
Need To Know: Analysts Just Made A Substantial Cut To Their Syrah Resources Limited (ASX:SYR) Estimates
The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for Syrah Resources Limited ( ASX:SYR ), with the analysts making...Analysis Article • Apr 29
Need To Know: The Consensus Just Cut Its Syrah Resources Limited (ASX:SYR) Estimates For 2023
The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for Syrah Resources Limited ( ASX:SYR ), with the analysts making...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 320 | 31 | -62 | 54 | 2 |
| 12/31/2027 | 237 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 3 |
| 12/31/2026 | 113 | -57 | -64 | -57 | 3 |
| 12/31/2025 | 33 | -101 | -62 | -56 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 24 | -109 | -71 | -65 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 14 | -118 | -80 | -74 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 23 | -122 | -91 | -76 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 32 | -125 | -103 | -79 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 35 | -120 | -139 | -77 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 38 | -114 | -175 | -75 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 43 | -100 | -191 | -67 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 48 | -85 | -207 | -60 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 66 | -70 | -189 | -47 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 85 | -56 | -172 | -34 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 96 | -41 | -151 | -32 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 106 | -27 | -130 | -31 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 88 | -34 | -109 | -37 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 70 | -42 | -87 | -42 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 49 | -49 | -72 | -39 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 29 | -57 | -57 | -35 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 21 | -57 | -49 | -32 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 12 | -57 | -41 | -29 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 12 | -59 | -42 | -31 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 11 | -61 | -43 | -33 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 22 | -69 | -55 | -38 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 33 | -78 | -66 | -43 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 52 | -104 | -68 | -38 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 72 | -131 | -69 | -34 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 60 | -116 | N/A | -24 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 47 | -102 | N/A | -14 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 23 | -66 | N/A | -12 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | N/A | -29 | N/A | -10 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 0 | -21 | N/A | -11 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 1 | -14 | N/A | -12 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 1 | -13 | N/A | -11 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 1 | -12 | N/A | -11 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 1 | -14 | N/A | -10 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 1 | -16 | N/A | -9 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 1 | -15 | N/A | -8 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 1 | -14 | N/A | -7 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 1 | -5 | N/A | -5 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: SYR is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.6%).
Earnings vs Market: SYR is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: SYR is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: SYR's revenue (31.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (5.9% per year).
High Growth Revenue: SYR's revenue (31.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: SYR's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (16.1%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/11 20:32 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/10 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Syrah Resources Limited is covered by 5 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Reg Spencer | Canaccord Genuity |
| Timothy Hoff | Deutsche Bank |
| Ben Lyons | Jarden Limited |