Stock Analysis

Institutional owners may take dramatic actions as St Barbara Limited's (ASX:SBM) recent 13% drop adds to one-year losses

Published
ASX:SBM

Key Insights

  • Given the large stake in the stock by institutions, St Barbara's stock price might be vulnerable to their trading decisions
  • The top 9 shareholders own 52% of the company
  • Using data from analyst forecasts alongside ownership research, one can better assess the future performance of a company

A look at the shareholders of St Barbara Limited (ASX:SBM) can tell us which group is most powerful. With 69% stake, institutions possess the maximum shares in the company. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

And institutional investors endured the highest losses after the company's share price fell by 13% last week. Needless to say, the recent loss which further adds to the one-year loss to shareholders of 20% might not go down well especially with this category of shareholders. Institutions or "liquidity providers" control large sums of money and therefore, these types of investors usually have a lot of influence over stock price movements. As a result, if the decline continues, institutional investors may be pressured to sell St Barbara which might hurt individual investors.

Let's take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about St Barbara.

View our latest analysis for St Barbara

ASX:SBM Ownership Breakdown May 5th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About St Barbara?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

St Barbara already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own a respectable stake in the company. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. If multiple institutions change their view on a stock at the same time, you could see the share price drop fast. It's therefore worth looking at St Barbara's earnings history below. Of course, the future is what really matters.

ASX:SBM Earnings and Revenue Growth May 5th 2024

Since institutional investors own more than half the issued stock, the board will likely have to pay attention to their preferences. St Barbara is not owned by hedge funds. Looking at our data, we can see that the largest shareholder is IPConcept Fund Management SA with 9.5% of shares outstanding. Meanwhile, the second and third largest shareholders, hold 9.2% and 5.4%, of the shares outstanding, respectively.

We also observed that the top 9 shareholders account for more than half of the share register, with a few smaller shareholders to balance the interests of the larger ones to a certain extent.

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. There are a reasonable number of analysts covering the stock, so it might be useful to find out their aggregate view on the future.

Insider Ownership Of St Barbara

While the precise definition of an insider can be subjective, almost everyone considers board members to be insiders. The company management answer to the board and the latter should represent the interests of shareholders. Notably, sometimes top-level managers are on the board themselves.

Insider ownership is positive when it signals leadership are thinking like the true owners of the company. However, high insider ownership can also give immense power to a small group within the company. This can be negative in some circumstances.

We can report that insiders do own shares in St Barbara Limited. It has a market capitalization of just AU$196m, and insiders have AU$6.3m worth of shares, in their own names. Some would say this shows alignment of interests between shareholders and the board, though we generally prefer to see bigger insider holdings. But it might be worth checking if those insiders have been selling.

General Public Ownership

The general public, who are usually individual investors, hold a 26% stake in St Barbara. While this size of ownership may not be enough to sway a policy decision in their favour, they can still make a collective impact on company policies.

Next Steps:

While it is well worth considering the different groups that own a company, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for St Barbara that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you would prefer discover what analysts are predicting in terms of future growth, do not miss this free report on analyst forecasts.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.