David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Nagambie Resources Limited (ASX:NAG) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for Nagambie Resources
What Is Nagambie Resources's Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Nagambie Resources had AU$4.53m in debt in June 2020; about the same as the year before. However, it does have AU$2.20m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about AU$2.33m.
How Strong Is Nagambie Resources's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Nagambie Resources had liabilities of AU$899.6k falling due within a year, and liabilities of AU$4.54m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of AU$2.20m as well as receivables valued at AU$75.2k due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by AU$3.16m.
Given Nagambie Resources has a market capitalization of AU$24.0m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Nagambie Resources will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Since Nagambie Resources has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.
Caveat Emptor
Importantly, Nagambie Resources had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at AU$1.1m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled AU$1.4m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 5 warning signs for Nagambie Resources (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About ASX:NAG
Nagambie Resources
Explores for and develops gold and related minerals, and construction materials in Australia.
Moderate with imperfect balance sheet.